South American Leagues · resolved market
Club León FC vs. Atlas FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2be453cc2ea11945e90c33586298d43ebab392c0fb17b4bc3dd36fabd29934d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,403
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,437
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,403 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Over | 49c | 15,006$7,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,653.06 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 51c | 3,600$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Under | 50c | 2,948$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.99 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 50c | 1,754$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.82 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 51c | 1,440$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.4 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 51c | 1,260$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.6 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 51c | 1,222$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.16 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 50c | 1,199$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.37 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 51c | 1,080$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.8 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00da…d262backed Over | 52c | 950.3$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.14 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 48c | 920.9$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.03 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Under | 51c | 682.35$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd2…9a46backed Under | 51c | 519$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 450$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.5 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 32c | 428.93$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.23 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 51c | 360$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.6 | 213 | 58.7%125 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 51c | 360$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.6 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 51c | 360$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.6 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 51c | 360$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.6 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 51c | 352$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.52 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 51c | 345$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.95 | 165 | 59.4%98 W · 67 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…f66fbacked Under | 4c | 324.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 71c | 308.85$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 51c | 288$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.88 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 51c | 288$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.88 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999d…a1e1backed Under | 50c | 217.66$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.83 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb8…067cbacked Under | 51c | 189$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 69c | 180.9$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.49 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 51c | 180$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 51c | 180$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under | 51c | 180$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 189 | 59.3%112 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under | 16c | 155.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 51c | 144$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.44 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 51c | 136$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.36 | 203 | 60.6%123 W · 80 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Under | 50c | 117.92$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Over | 51c | 112.9$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.32 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Over | 53c | 94.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Over | 79c | 90$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 108 | 75%81 W · 27 L | +16.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…802bbacked Under | 22c | 89.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 49c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under | 47c | 64.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 24c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 49c | 59.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.49 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 51c | 54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 179 | 60.3%108 W · 71 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 49c | 47.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Under | 51c | 38.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…79d3backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Over | 49c | 26.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e85…3b3bbacked Over | 71c | 22.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed Under | 50c | 22.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Over | 50c | 20.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31e0…1d15backed Over | 78c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…3d52backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 77cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club León FC vs. Atlas FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Club León FC vs. Atlas FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Club León FC vs. Atlas FC: Atlas FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Club León FC vs. Atlas FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club León FC vs. Atlas FC: Club León FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Club León FC vs. Atlas FC: Club León FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Club León FC vs. Atlas FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Club León FC vs. Atlas FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club León FC vs. Atlas FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Club León FC vs. Atlas FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Club León FC vs. Atlas FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Atlas FC (-1.5)Club León FC won
- Spread: Atlas FC (-2.5)Club León FC won
- Spread: Club León FC (-1.5)Atlas FC won
- Spread: Club León FC (-2.5)Atlas FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.