South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Atlas FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9720be4fe4b9be511649266c050675bc2c8a7f20e45bbc1dc997b82bf29e38e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Club León FCof Atlas FC, Club León FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,282
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,932
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,282 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Atlas FC | 41c | 10,908$4,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,426.02 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Club León FC | 65c | 4,903$3,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,695.99 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Atlas FC | 41c | 4,314$1,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,776.11 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Club León FC | 67c | 3,132$2,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.41 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Club León FC | 65c | 2,542$1,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.8 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Atlas FC | 78c | 1,576$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.8 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Club León FC | 62c | 837.77$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.56 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Club León FC | 69c | 627.84$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Club León FC | 56c | 586.9$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.72 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Club León FC | 63c | 555.56$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.56 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Atlas FC | 54c | 550.49$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.76 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Club León FC | 15c | 364.98$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.48 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Club León FC | 63c | 258.43$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.57 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Atlas FC | 80c | 247.63$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.84 | 206 | 65%134 W · 72 L | +24.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Atlas FC | 76c | 244.68$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.8 | 217 | 65.4%142 W · 75 L | +24.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Club León FC | 39c | 187.21$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.88 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Atlas FC | 68c | 160.66$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.75 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Atlas FC | 77c | 152.53$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.76 | 246 | 65.9%162 W · 84 L | +26.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed Atlas FC | 60c | 148.1$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.35 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Atlas FC | 70c | 142.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.76 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Atlas FC | 67c | 115$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.34 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Club León FC | 68c | 101.1$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Atlas FC | 72c | 90$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.03 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Atlas FC | 36c | 84.47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Atlas FC | 60c | 82.34$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Club León FC | 61c | 82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Atlas FC | 56c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Atlas FC | 60c | 65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Club León FC | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 151 | 43%65 W · 86 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Atlas FC | 43c | 58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Club León FC | 64c | 35.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Club León FC | 44c | 31.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Club León FC | 63c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Club León FC | 67c | 28.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…cd9abacked Atlas FC | 72c | 27.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Club León FC | 64c | 26.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Club León FC | 64c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Atlas FC | 78c | 17.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlas FC (-1.5)this page
- Club León FC vs. Atlas FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Club León FC vs. Atlas FC: Atlas FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Club León FC vs. Atlas FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club León FC vs. Atlas FC: Club León FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Club León FC vs. Atlas FC: Club León FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Club León FC vs. Atlas FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Club León FC vs. Atlas FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club León FC vs. Atlas FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Club León FC vs. Atlas FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Club León FC vs. Atlas FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Club León FC vs. Atlas FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Atlas FC (-2.5)Club León FC won
- Spread: Club León FC (-1.5)Atlas FC won
- Spread: Club León FC (-2.5)Atlas FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.