Asian League · resolved market
FC Seoul vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24d97408c3454a93f1a783e7cbc8061e95ce2ab613f5bb5cf4a3f9cafe1202a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,876
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 70c | 6,824$4,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,038.22 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 30c | 3,008$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.39 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 30c | 1,885$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.63 | 395 | 49.9%197 W · 198 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 30c | 1,809$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.74 | 387 | 49.6%192 W · 195 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…206dbacked Over | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.77 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 71cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 75c | 933.42$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.47 | 1,306 | 56.9%743 W · 563 L | +67.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 27c | 827.1$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.75 | 825 | 42.4%350 W · 475 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f6…73fabacked Over | 69c | 797.17$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.17 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 23c | 677.61$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.22 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed Over | 63c | 625$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.61 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +9.7wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed Over | 63c | 625$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.56 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 30c | 618.23$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.47 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2906…555abacked Under | 32c | 600$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Under | 7c | 581.82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.73 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6e92…5280backed Under | 33c | 553.32$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 37c | 487.71$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.45 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 27c | 401.78$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.48 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 30c | 365.59$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.04 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…2b2fbacked Under | 29c | 254.59$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.34 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 67c | 251.22$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.9 | 1,101 | 49.7%547 W · 554 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 64c | 196.33$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.14 | 197 | 65.5%129 W · 68 L | +27.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Under | 30c | 196$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.44 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 15c | 189$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 582 | 43%250 W · 332 L | -26.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Under | 27c | 174.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 69c | 153$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.43 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 36c | 141.67$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 67c | 138.41$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.84 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 26c | 136.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Under | 36c | 125$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 30c | 124.08$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.06 | 562 | 45.4%255 W · 307 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 34c | 120.89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.62 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 22c | 119.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 1,354 | 45.4%615 W · 739 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Under | 36c | 119.44$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 75c | 113.72$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.43 | 374 | 59.1%221 W · 153 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…6533backed Under | 45c | 110$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 41c | 107.57$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 400 | 51%204 W · 196 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 75c | 82.83$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 922 | 35.1%324 W · 598 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Under | 28c | 81.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 30c | 79.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 70c | 71.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 65c | 56.9$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 38c | 56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 74c | 53.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 762 | 55.9%426 W · 336 L | +38.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92c1…244dbacked Over | 66c | 53.1$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 67cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…a213backed Under | 36c | 52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over | 71c | 50.7$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce6…1e03backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 69c | 43.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 344 | 47.4%163 W · 181 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 213 | 67.6%144 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4078…eed8backed Over | 63c | 39.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 35c | 39.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 36c | 32.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f18…d6cabacked Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Over | 77c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Under | 43c | 24.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 69c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Over | 67c | 21.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Over | 56c | 17.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Over | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -6.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Over | 78c | 13.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.96 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Seoul vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Seoul vs. Pohang Steelers FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Seoul vs. Pohang Steelers FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. Pohang Steelers FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Seoul vs. Pohang Steelers FC: FC Seoul O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Seoul vs. Pohang Steelers FC: FC Seoul O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Seoul vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Seoul vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Seoul vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Seoul vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. Pohang Steelers FC: Pohang Steelers FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Spread: FC Seoul (-1.5)FC Seoul won
- Spread: FC Seoul (-2.5)Pohang Steelers FC won
- Spread: Pohang Steelers FC (-1.5)FC Seoul won
- Spread: Pohang Steelers FC (-2.5)FC Seoul won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.