Asian League · resolved market
FC Seoul vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2612f29670579a0e4909ada102e4b24de18e87b528c4a67b6c4efc5ff10223e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,492
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d75…3d44backed Over | 45c | 902.79$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.58 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8f…e5f5backed Under | 56c | 830$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.28 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 55c | 694.67$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.21 | 121 | 39.7%48 W · 73 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 2c | 612.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Over | 37c | 520.41$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.59 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 19c | 456.24$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.59 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 54c | 343.58$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 1,022 | 41.5%424 W · 598 L | -33.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f6…73fabacked Over | 45c | 311.36$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.36 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 44c | 304.18$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.34 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…b09bbacked Over | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd684…7e92backed Over | 35c | 299.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.99 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +141.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 35c | 237.6$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.25 | 922 | 35.1%324 W · 598 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c92…5567backed Under | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0e…cdf0backed Over | 36c | 199.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 48c | 175.45$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 1,306 | 56.9%743 W · 563 L | +67.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Over | 36c | 150$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 50c | 129.86$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.78 | 582 | 43%250 W · 332 L | -26.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Over | 45c | 121.59$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.88 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 63c | 117.2$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.05 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d8…fd15backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 69cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 28c | 88.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 434 | 52.1%226 W · 208 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 19c | 81.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.85 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…14d1backed Over | 23c | 76.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.16 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 77c | 71.56$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 21c | 64.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.1 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf423…31c4backed Under | 58c | 63.06$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.76 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under | 64c | 58.03$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.93 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 41c | 57.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42fc…a43cbacked Over | 42c | 55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 39c | 53.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 720 | 44.2%318 W · 402 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Under | 79c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 86 | 67.4%58 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…17a9backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 27c | 45.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.93 | 762 | 55.9%426 W · 336 L | +38.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 64c | 44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 217 | 54.4%118 W · 99 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Over | 51c | 39.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x351d…8574backed Under | 78c | 37.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Over | 33c | 37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 62c | 36.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Under | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 48c | 29.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 562 | 45.4%255 W · 307 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…20f7backed Under | 50c | 29.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Under | 65c | 28.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed Under | 69c | 26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6469…b890backed Under | 80c | 25.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 75cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 64c | 20.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 261 | 48.7%127 W · 134 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf809…2ef1backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed92…fbf2backed Under | 55c | 19.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Seoul vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Seoul vs. Pohang Steelers FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Seoul vs. Pohang Steelers FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. Pohang Steelers FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Seoul vs. Pohang Steelers FC: FC Seoul O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Seoul vs. Pohang Steelers FC: FC Seoul O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Seoul vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Seoul vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Seoul vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Seoul vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. Pohang Steelers FC: Pohang Steelers FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Spread: FC Seoul (-1.5)FC Seoul won
- Spread: FC Seoul (-2.5)Pohang Steelers FC won
- Spread: Pohang Steelers FC (-1.5)FC Seoul won
- Spread: Pohang Steelers FC (-2.5)FC Seoul won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.