Asian League · resolved market
FC Seoul vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x019f29eea0f99492f3921e03eeb081434a2f9c6a13015137ae66b5721a88ef36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,694
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,496
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,694 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 7c | 712.91$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.95 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 4c | 528.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 9c | 516.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…5513backed Over | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 118 | 12.7%15 W · 103 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d06…30d8backed Over | 10c | 445.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.57 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.24per pick | 41cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 10c | 377.13$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.33 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Over | 18c | 365$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.87 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 4c | 312.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 13c | 234.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 6c | 231.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…3655backed Over | 15c | 116.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Seoul vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 4.5this page
- FC Seoul vs. Pohang Steelers FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Seoul vs. Pohang Steelers FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. Pohang Steelers FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Seoul vs. Pohang Steelers FC: FC Seoul O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Seoul vs. Pohang Steelers FC: FC Seoul O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Seoul vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Seoul vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Seoul vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Seoul vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Seoul vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. Pohang Steelers FC: Pohang Steelers FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Spread: FC Seoul (-1.5)FC Seoul won
- Spread: FC Seoul (-2.5)Pohang Steelers FC won
- Spread: Pohang Steelers FC (-1.5)FC Seoul won
- Spread: Pohang Steelers FC (-2.5)FC Seoul won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.