Other European Leagues · resolved market
IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9fb1a7dd43845905b89ab49d6de4392218ced80b6843d84cd1c4240c8429ec2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,470
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,854
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,470 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x882f…a8c0backed Over | 54c | 8,000$4,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,692.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 7,040$3,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,014.14 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ec…c077backed Under | 13c | 3,648$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 49c | 1,813$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.13 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 12c | 1,780$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 14c | 1,370$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.95 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d2…399bbacked Under | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fba…fd69backed Under | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…edacbacked Over | 49c | 1,028$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 57c | 999.99$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 4c | 937.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 41c | 933.03$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.6 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…1e01backed Over | 70c | 696.5$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54c4…caaebacked Over | 51c | 599.99$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -56%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked Over | 46c | 564.92$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.47 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +5.8wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 43c | 418.6$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.6 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +12.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…fb20backed Over | 69c | 406.67$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Over | 52c | 350$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 80c | 312.5$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 45c | 273.74$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.88 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc35b…6eb2backed Over | 74c | 266$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.22 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 74cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Under | 7c | 256$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Under | 48c | 206.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe16f…a33fbacked Over | 73c | 190.75$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.92 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 11c | 167.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 110 | 22.7%25 W · 85 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f54…8c2bbacked Over | 43c | 153.49$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Under | 46c | 152.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x586b…52d9backed Over | 59c | 146.9$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.92 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 49c | 140$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 42c | 126.19$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…a78ebacked Under | 38c | 123.39$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 42c | 121.43$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92c1…244dbacked Over | 76c | 112.5$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +169.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Under | 42c | 107.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Under | 42c | 102.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Under | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x323f…a511backed Over | 77c | 80.37$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 47c | 74.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 48c | 62.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfda7…d488backed Over | 77c | 58.73$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf423…31c4backed Under | 46c | 49.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 34c | 36.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…c32abacked Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…9b98backed Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb985…cf92backed Over | 70c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf841…b954backed Over | 55c | 26.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250f…4fc6backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c6…f5c0backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: O/U 0.5this page
- IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: IF Elfsborg O/U 0.5Over won
- IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: IF Elfsborg O/U 1.5Under won
- IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: IK Sirius 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: IK Sirius O/U 0.5Over won
- IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: IK Sirius O/U 1.5Over won
- IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: IK Sirius O/U 2.5Over won
- IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: O/U 1.5Over won
- IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: O/U 2.5Over won
- IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: O/U 3.5Over won
- IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: O/U 4.5Under won
- IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: IF Elfsborg (-1.5)IK Sirius won
- Spread: IF Elfsborg (-2.5)IK Sirius won
- Spread: IK Sirius (-1.5)IK Sirius won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.