Other European Leagues · resolved market
IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25ca7b47d4f9bacc1143bd5387d18ce04cfb1f08bd5e48dcbc5c35a1bbf0bd0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,933
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,127
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,933 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Under | 0c | 6,111$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ec…c077backed Under | 9c | 2,778$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 65c | 971.75$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.7 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Over | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.14 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d26…ca0ebacked Under | 67c | 778.57$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 33c | 680.23$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.75 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 7c | 526.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.12 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…8148backed Over | 38c | 400$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Under | 45c | 332.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.85 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 12c | 246.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 110 | 22.7%25 W · 85 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 35c | 223.55$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.38 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 201.86$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.4 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 78c | 144.46$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.52 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 35c | 136.74$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.91 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 35c | 119.97$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.18 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 24c | 110.66$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.1 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 34c | 100.88$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.58 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…68a0backed Over | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +54%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Over | 35c | 99.97$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.98 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 64c | 72.54$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.47 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…483abacked Over | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70ec…81bebacked Under | 30c | 47.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe331…0163backed Over | 55c | 44.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff9c…4d59backed Over | 67c | 29.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 67c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 64c | 27.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x321c…18ddbacked Under | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: O/U 3.5this page
- IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: IF Elfsborg O/U 0.5Over won
- IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: IF Elfsborg O/U 1.5Under won
- IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: IK Sirius 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: IK Sirius O/U 0.5Over won
- IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: IK Sirius O/U 1.5Over won
- IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: IK Sirius O/U 2.5Over won
- IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: O/U 0.5Over won
- IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: O/U 1.5Over won
- IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: O/U 2.5Over won
- IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: O/U 4.5Under won
- IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: IF Elfsborg (-1.5)IK Sirius won
- Spread: IF Elfsborg (-2.5)IK Sirius won
- Spread: IK Sirius (-1.5)IK Sirius won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.