Other European Leagues · resolved market
IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53ea3268adefd71abf8af8178b31bbe31d2afb869fbc7385a9840e52dbc1cd1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,947
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,562
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,947 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa36f…180bbacked Under | 42c | 5,513$2,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,312.28 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 5,466$2,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,970.25 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 58c | 5,172$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172.41 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 73c | 5,010$3,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,674.38 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41d2…d7c9backed Over | 55c | 4,505$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,004.67 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 24c | 2,926$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,210.32 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4848…71b9backed Under | 11c | 2,819$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ec…c077backed Under | 9c | 2,778$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 62c | 2,270$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.03 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2906…555abacked Under | 42c | 1,437$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…4191backed Over | 23c | 1,286$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.57 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f39…311abacked Over | 46c | 1,284$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.35 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 23c | 996.79$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.69 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 62c | 816.93$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.69 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 58c | 811.35$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.61 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 58c | 698.2$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.24 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a4…3d29backed Under | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over | 35c | 613.01$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.46 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 9c | 424.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 110 | 22.7%25 W · 85 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 54c | 411.08$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.94 | 135 | 73.3%99 W · 36 L | +24.7wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Under | 42c | 357$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 58c | 302.49$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.38 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 60c | 268.03$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.21 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Over | 58c | 259.4$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.95 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 42c | 238.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 45c | 218$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.49 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 54c | 208.62$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 65c | 207.69$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b81…b60ebacked Over | 58c | 203.45$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 42c | 196.86$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.03 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 34c | 196.48$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.12 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 43c | 190.73$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.21 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Over | 52c | 181.11$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.93 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…100dbacked Over | 58c | 172.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…ff88backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 60c | 168.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.04 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacbb…6cb4backed Over | 17c | 155.31$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +157.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed Over | 11c | 155.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.22 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 57c | 153.23$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.63 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 58c | 120.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc59c…6b58backed Over | 59c | 103.69$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd08…1b71backed Over | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3b…8f52backed Over | 41c | 99.54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.54 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x586b…52d9backed Over | 58c | 96.55$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 33c | 91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…3961backed Over | 20c | 80$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 48c | 79.48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.33 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 58c | 69.79$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d8…3b2bbacked Over | 59c | 67.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…31b3backed Over | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 41c | 66.17$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.17 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…a787backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde7e…564dbacked Under | 68c | 50.53$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.36 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Over | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.25 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70ec…81bebacked Under | 30c | 48.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 29c | 45.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 146 | 28.1%41 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Over | 46c | 40.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +7.6wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 41c | 39.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250f…4fc6backed Over | 37c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc131…3a1abacked Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc2…56a9backed Over | 57c | 26.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b97…f2a9backed Over | 57c | 25.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Over | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Under | 55c | 22.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…c45ebacked Over | 58c | 22.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 58c | 20.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c6…f5c0backed Under | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: O/U 2.5this page
- IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: IF Elfsborg O/U 0.5Over won
- IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: IF Elfsborg O/U 1.5Under won
- IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: IK Sirius 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: IK Sirius O/U 0.5Over won
- IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: IK Sirius O/U 1.5Over won
- IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: IK Sirius O/U 2.5Over won
- IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: O/U 0.5Over won
- IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: O/U 1.5Over won
- IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: O/U 3.5Over won
- IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: O/U 4.5Under won
- IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: IF Elfsborg (-1.5)IK Sirius won
- Spread: IF Elfsborg (-2.5)IK Sirius won
- Spread: IK Sirius (-1.5)IK Sirius won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.