TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Spread: IK Sirius (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
IK Siriusof IK Sirius, IF Elfsborg
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,359
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,460

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,359 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x48ec…8f36backed IF Elfsborg31c483$150 inLost-$149.734831.3%15 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked IK Sirius69c478$330 inWon+$148.1850146.1%231 W · 270 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed IK Sirius7c425.62$30 inWon+$395.742,64035.7%942 W · 1,698 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked IF Elfsborg74c202.67$150 inLost-$149.983759.5%22 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed IK Sirius27c200$54 inWon+$1461540%6 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed IK Sirius25c190.44$48 inWon+$142.831,43437.7%540 W · 894 L-3.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked IF Elfsborg73c107.19$78 inLost-$78.3214853.4%79 W · 69 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x153a…af29backed IF Elfsborg20c80.11$16 inLost-$15.893375.8%25 W · 8 L+9.1wins+0.28per pick48cpaid+61.7%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed IF Elfsborg73c75$55 inLost-$55.092,54352.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L+18.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked IK Sirius25c69.69$17 inWon+$52.326051.5%134 W · 126 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1621…f040backed IF Elfsborg22c68.05$15 inLost-$15.0770%0 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb871…1cb8backed IF Elfsborg24c66.64$16 inLost-$15.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked IK Sirius76c31.75$24 inWon+$7.6213542.2%57 W · 78 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccb7…0477backed IF Elfsborg76c26.68$20 inLost-$20.285763.2%36 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed IK Sirius73c25.77$19 inWon+$6.892864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed IK Sirius76c24.84$19 inWon+$5.9618848.4%91 W · 97 L+13.4wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+1.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed IF Elfsborg75c23.76$18 inLost-$17.727,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.