Other European Leagues · resolved market
IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10082196e257fc8eca29236e828e524c76fa9b3395358eb14d1fc648e383fb88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,062
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,786
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,062 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 7,048$3,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,439.7 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8df…a2c7backed Under | 9c | 3,435$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d5…442bbacked Over | 53c | 2,629$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.06 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 13c | 2,212$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,922.76 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over | 35c | 2,154$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.97 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Under | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.96 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc522…7f28backed Over | 50c | 1,673$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 56c | 1,595$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.51 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc32e…203dbacked Over | 51c | 1,399$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.55 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 65c | 1,200$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.99 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…b071backed Over | 72c | 658.64$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f39…311abacked Over | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…044abacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Under | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 53c | 499.97$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.98 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Under | 51c | 492.3$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6da…5ccfbacked Over | 52c | 480.85$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed06…72e7backed Over | 36c | 475$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…4191backed Over | 45c | 445.81$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.81 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb00d…af5fbacked Under | 49c | 396.52$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.3 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 41c | 364.83$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.64 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 55c | 337.98$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.79 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Under | 18c | 299.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 136 | 15.4%21 W · 115 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 32c | 299.96$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.97 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…1d41backed Over | 51c | 258$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.42 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 50c | 243.25$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.62 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Over | 55c | 236.91$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.91 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5651…e11ebacked Over | 64c | 233.72$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 18c | 229.34$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa36f…180bbacked Under | 49c | 214.94$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.32 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 76c | 198.01$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.01 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c92…c646backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Over | 64c | 160$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.9 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e8…0153backed Over | 62c | 155.4$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 12c | 154.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 11c | 147$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 110 | 22.7%25 W · 85 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c1…244dbacked Over | 41c | 146.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.32 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +169.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Over | 32c | 125$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Over | 48c | 115$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 56c | 108$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.57 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x586b…52d9backed Over | 51c | 103.92$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.92 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 40 | 82.5%33 W · 7 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 52c | 84.15$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.44 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 50c | 83.92$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.96 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 18c | 74.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 42c | 67.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 27c | 61.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.7 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…a787backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 51c | 56.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…738abacked Over | 27c | 49.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.49 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…0289backed Over | 60c | 49.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 53c | 46.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -17.3wins | -0.28per pick | 33cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x2476…7eeebacked Over | 65c | 46.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…7dffbacked Over | 44c | 36.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfda7…d488backed Over | 43c | 35.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 34c | 34.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +7.6wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d2…c938backed Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Over | 55c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 66c | 32.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc2…56a9backed Over | 57c | 26.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…483abacked Under | 52c | 25.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…6c79backed Under | 50c | 24.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Under | 74c | 20.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Over | 73c | 18.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Under | 68c | 17.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31e0…1d15backed Under | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: O/U 1.5this page
- IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: IF Elfsborg O/U 0.5Over won
- IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: IF Elfsborg O/U 1.5Under won
- IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: IK Sirius 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: IK Sirius O/U 0.5Over won
- IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: IK Sirius O/U 1.5Over won
- IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: IK Sirius O/U 2.5Over won
- IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: O/U 0.5Over won
- IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: O/U 2.5Over won
- IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: O/U 3.5Over won
- IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: O/U 4.5Under won
- IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: IF Elfsborg (-1.5)IK Sirius won
- Spread: IF Elfsborg (-2.5)IK Sirius won
- Spread: IK Sirius (-1.5)IK Sirius won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.