TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x59b6…fb20

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: La Liga, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 55 out of 100; worst Weather at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.21per pick59cpaid-8.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Weather — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.41
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$262.66
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C or below on May 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.68
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C or higher on May 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$57.56
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on May 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.5
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on May 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$7.86
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$77.86
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+25%+$62.85
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on May 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.9
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+47.4%+$81.38
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$23.25
Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 39°F or below on February 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10.61
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on January 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+638.7%+$383.23
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -4°C on January 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 16 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.33per pick46cpaid-80.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.5
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs Partizan Sangal - Game 2 Winnerbacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: Arctic Pandas vs Colossal Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Arctic Pandas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
LoL: Verdant vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked WLGaming Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.78
LoL: HMBLE vs Colossal Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Colossal Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$29
LoL: Croatian Flair vs The Secret Club Esport (BO3) - EBL Playoffsbacked The Secret Club Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12.8
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$16.69
All 8 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick60cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-32.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-45.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+94.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+93.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+163.2%+$22.19
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10.24
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gwangju FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$87.5
FC Seoul vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 February 16-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+47.1%+$32
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Juventus FC vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+33.9%+$16.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. Qairat FK: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.