Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 0.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04c6e1ef5d910945f487dcce7137dffbf9445169bb575bc19f77c4b1603a5655

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $45,018
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $42,981

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,018 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	23c	16,059$3,685 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,374.45	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	18c	6,139$1,075 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,063.89	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda48…5926backed Over	66c	2,999$1,980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,979.53	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-2.0wins	-0.13per pick	57cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	16c	2,945$481 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,464.27	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under	33c	2,329$768 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,560.18	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under	16c	2,246$359 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,886.24	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b9e…db57backed Over	67c	1,883$1,262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,261.78	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-2.4wins	-0.60per pick	60cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x36d8…925dbacked Over	73c	1,370$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.91	25	60%15 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	66cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	31c	1,178$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$359.52	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under	16c	1,000$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$840	706	48.2%340 W · 366 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under	17c	999.97$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$829.98	644	43.3%279 W · 365 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	77c	823.28$633 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$633.14	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf27a…78d8backed Over	67c	757.02$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$504.2	227	52.4%119 W · 108 L	+5.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87fe…3cbebacked Under	16c	736.89$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$618.99	72	47.2%34 W · 38 L	+4.1wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	66c	731.53$483 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$249.02	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Under	55c	698.45$381 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$317.66	414	44.9%186 W · 228 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	17c	695.58$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$579.07	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Under	17c	566.16$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$469.91	412	31.6%130 W · 282 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf408…afe0backed Under	16c	500$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$420	47	48.9%23 W · 24 L	+7.0wins	+0.15per pick	34cpaid	+94.7%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Over	46c	500$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	59	50.8%30 W · 29 L	+7.8wins	+0.13per pick	38cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under	17c	394.65$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$327.56	847	51%432 W · 415 L	+10.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under	17c	394.65$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$327.56	481	52.4%252 W · 229 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9135…8362backed Over	79c	379.75$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-1.7wins	-0.15per pick	70cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe620…03acbacked Over	67c	359.34$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.76	170	45.9%78 W · 92 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06d6…8360backed Over	38c	314.99$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.69	59	45.8%27 W · 32 L	-3.5wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc20…f00dbacked Over	61c	299.98$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.99	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	25c	238.59$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.79	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xffc9…bf01backed Under	17c	229.53$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190.51	144	58.3%84 W · 60 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	52c	224.08$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.78	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdcc…7c07backed Over	48c	210$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.8	57	45.6%26 W · 31 L	+3.7wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x129b…190abacked Over	48c	209.57$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	76	46.1%35 W · 41 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcb2…02b0backed Over	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	365	34.2%125 W · 240 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd42c…51adbacked Under	27c	170$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.1	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+3.1wins	+0.12per pick	34cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Under	16c	163.52$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.36	732	34.6%253 W · 479 L	-22.2wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c2a…b2fdbacked Over	76c	160$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.01	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x94af…8989backed Under	17c	159.71$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.56	39	51.3%20 W · 19 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa4ef…82b8backed Under	34c	150$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99	22	72.7%16 W · 6 L	+1.8wins	+0.08per pick	65cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over	43c	148.09$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.65	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa8f…14d1backed Over	34c	147.96$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over	34c	147.61$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.63	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0xbf6a…bf42backed Under	71c	141.41$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.41	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-2.1wins	-0.15per pick	51cpaid	-44%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	23c	134.27$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.52	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under	50c	133.37$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.09	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6436…da96backed Over	79c	126.58$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	85	42.4%36 W · 49 L	-6.9wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Over	9c	120.01$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.24	1,135	40.2%456 W · 679 L	+5.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xed4e…916fbacked Under	34c	117.65$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.65	78	42.3%33 W · 45 L	-7.3wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-20%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf277…cb2dbacked Over	51c	117.09$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	43	27.9%12 W · 31 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc8a…112bbacked Under	52c	111.06$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.41	81	17.3%14 W · 67 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bce…3948backed Over	77c	104.52$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	125	59.2%74 W · 51 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3ca…02d5backed Under	49c	101.68$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.68	66	30.3%20 W · 46 L	+3.5wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb2a…e923backed Over	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	201	38.3%77 W · 124 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3451…a6e1backed Over	41c	99.99$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	62	50%31 W · 31 L	+3.7wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0632…d1b7backed Over	11c	99.11$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Under	15c	95.29$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.6	368	38.6%142 W · 226 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Under	17c	88.35$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.33	360	45.3%163 W · 197 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e78…e415backed Over	50c	87.22$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.61	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x898c…e4c3backed Over	58c	86.78$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	76	42.1%32 W · 44 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19a3…09b0backed Under	31c	84.52$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.52	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+4.7wins	+0.20per pick	28cpaid	+39.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0aae…5efabacked Over	71c	73.45$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	63	38.1%24 W · 39 L	-4.2wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Over	76c	65.77$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	396	48.7%193 W · 203 L	-23.6wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x409c…c5efbacked Over	80c	60$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+1.4wins	+0.10per pick	61cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa416…63f4backed Over	68c	55.74$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.98	124	52.4%65 W · 59 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Over	27c	54.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.74	802	25.7%206 W · 596 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aa7…eccfbacked Over	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	58	37.9%22 W · 36 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca8…6ffebacked Over	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	16	75%12 W · 4 L	+1.4wins	+0.09per pick	66cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7154…06c6backed Under	58c	50$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+2.0wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+121.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6c63…23cfbacked Over	40c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59b6…fb20backed Over	76c	50$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.19per pick	59cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e3a…55babacked Over	51c	47.25$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.1	150	44%66 W · 84 L	-8.8wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Under	67c	47.01$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.57	198	62.1%123 W · 75 L	+8.7wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Over	65c	41.1$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.89	209	68.4%143 W · 66 L	+21.5wins	+0.10per pick	58cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd660…dd8bbacked Over	69c	39.13$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+2.5wins	+0.25per pick	55cpaid	+57.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Under	27c	38.77$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.47	475	46.1%219 W · 256 L	-15.8wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Over	52c	35.13$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.34	950	37.5%356 W · 594 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a5e…8fd0backed Under	59c	33.9$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.9	72	37.5%27 W · 45 L	-3.3wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefcf…3a90backed Over	75c	33.33$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.19per pick	47cpaid	+6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x530f…424ebacked Over	75c	31$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.17	77	50.6%39 W · 38 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over	62c	30$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.6	1,306	44.7%584 W · 722 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e66…8b47backed Over	66c	30$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	71cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6f…22a6backed Over	67c	29.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-3.8wins	-0.32per pick	57cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0x6964…a82fbacked Over	77c	29$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.37	81	38.3%31 W · 50 L	-8.8wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x71bc…3c01backed Over	75c	26.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over	49c	25.01$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.24	341	2.9%10 W · 331 L	-132.4wins	-0.39per pick	42cpaid	-94%equal weight	10-0.36 edge/pick
0x61bc…d436backed Over	62c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.4	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 0.5this page
Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Australia vs. Türkiye: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Australia vs. Türkiye: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 0.5Over won
Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 1.5Over won
Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 2.5Under won
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 0.5Over won
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5Over won
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5Under won
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5Under won
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 4.5Under won
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 5.5Under won
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 1.5Under won
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 2.5Under won
Spread: Australia (-1.5)Australia won
Spread: Australia (-2.5)Türkiye won
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)Australia won
Spread: Türkiye (-2.5)Australia won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 0.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event