TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,686
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,674

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,686 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over70c3,613$2,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,521.33,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under60c3,082$1,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.944,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over31c2,804$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.312,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over10c2,645$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.963,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf268…ab74backed Under29c2,103$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,501.951656.3%9 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.24per pick33cpaid+55.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under70c2,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60086452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under69c1,896$1,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.031,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e20…e3c8backed Under30c1,598$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,122.854942.9%21 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over9c1,249$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.234,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4554…8deebacked Over30c984.59$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2972450%12 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over31c966$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.652,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4911…7ba8backed Over31c965.35$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9711851.7%61 W · 57 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over64c908.54$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.432,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under71c865.99$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.142,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over65c847$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5482,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over28c795.63$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.722,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x565f…cb2dbacked Over30c696.17$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.858338.6%32 W · 51 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under70c630.2$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.0661750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under69c583.49$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.83,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x852c…0dcfbacked Over40c501.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Over33c450$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.3919838.4%76 W · 122 L-18.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over33c450$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.519039.5%75 W · 115 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over33c450$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.519039.5%75 W · 115 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under62c447.37$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.136235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over31c388.85$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.28,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under58c355.28$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.0344130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda5b…55e5backed Over42c299.99$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1263253.1%17 W · 15 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under76c262.25$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.2532356%181 W · 142 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5e…0381backed Under77c259.62$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.313943.9%61 W · 78 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e0b…a859backed Over43c227.91$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984447.7%21 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over41c220.76$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906836.8%25 W · 43 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9564…d89abacked Under28c214.29$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.292254.5%12 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.22per pick32cpaid+67.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under69c212.59$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.891,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6c…2352backed Over29c199.87$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.967536%27 W · 48 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3e8…ab35backed Over28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508851.1%45 W · 43 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa80e…9fd6backed Over30c167$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022216.2%36 W · 186 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick13cpaid+59.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3900…fb4ebacked Over31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023729.5%70 W · 167 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9d1…6194backed Over31c151.51$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9720056%112 W · 88 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+21.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde70…615fbacked Over30c133.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011839.8%47 W · 71 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfde8…c52fbacked Over28c130$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.44332.6%14 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under70c122$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.62,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under69c120.07$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.222,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16c8…1badbacked Over40c116.58$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6319742.1%83 W · 114 L-11.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under58c112.79$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3732740.7%133 W · 194 L+0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa334…55fabacked Over29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305230.8%16 W · 36 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over30c102.68$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.882,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5247…ece7backed Over20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208236.6%30 W · 52 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4acb…74fcbacked Over30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307640.8%31 W · 45 L-7.3wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x49b9…9613backed Under70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309957.6%57 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40e0…5885backed Over31c96.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304634.8%16 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-30.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over30c96.36$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.911,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5501…fe9abacked Under62c93.09$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.12343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Under66c68.84$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.669744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over30c64.92$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4833443.4%145 W · 189 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bf2…236ebacked Over31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204027.5%11 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd68f…6fdfbacked Over30c63.33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb45c…ce8bbacked Under70c57.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.14771.4%5 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick71cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Under70c56.18$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9241344.1%182 W · 231 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over36c56.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011331%35 W · 78 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked Under37c56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5310849.1%53 W · 55 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe766…7843backed Under61c53.74$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8823645.3%107 W · 129 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over30c50.6$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0648152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e24…ec07backed Over39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.540352.1%210 W · 193 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2d6…90aabacked Over22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1117038.2%65 W · 105 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7554…fc63backed Over30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1522147.5%105 W · 116 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+80.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54bb…5787backed Over43c48.84$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218138.3%31 W · 50 L-8.1wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over31c48.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Under58c48.28$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2816231.5%51 W · 111 L-13.7wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under58c48$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.161,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x673d…1247backed Under66c46.78$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.929833.7%33 W · 65 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ff1…1be9backed Under70c45.6$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.483268.8%22 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick74cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Under51c44$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.737348.3%180 W · 193 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x39b2…9460backed Over43c41.48$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.835619.4%69 W · 287 L-21.4wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-27.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x42ac…7b70backed Under39c39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.92933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Under62c32.99$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.429154%157 W · 134 L+21.1wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4010…eacfbacked Over40c32.75$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139459.6%56 W · 38 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e4b…83e2backed Under68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.413759.5%22 W · 15 L+5.3wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+48.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under69c29.39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.112,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x85ae…5399backed Under40c28$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.86446.9%30 W · 34 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Over72c25.69$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.492,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under70c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.532,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e83…d461backed Under51c20.41$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106246.8%29 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x446d…a0b2backed Over72c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.37269.4%50 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Under61c18.78$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.267451.4%38 W · 36 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc660…d0c8backed Under71c17.38$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.04742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick67cpaid-41.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under70c17.24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1731149.5%154 W · 157 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.