Fifa International · resolved market
Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbced17329d570356b764955e8de50b01d2ecdd3705b1bf4715bb5b8ecb9665a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,450
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,844
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,450 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 74c | 5,248$3,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,903.28 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 25c | 4,052$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,032.49 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 77c | 1,978$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.67 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 67c | 1,513$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.57 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Under | 76c | 1,500$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.8 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x729d…e139backed Over | 24c | 1,459$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.76 | 95 | 73.7%70 W · 25 L | +15.1wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 75c | 1,320$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.17 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Under | 31c | 1,199$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.24 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 36c | 1,118$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.49 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 33c | 1,091$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.91 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Over | 19c | 1,015$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.15 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Under | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Under | 79c | 984.94$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.1 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b9…f378backed Over | 21c | 945.18$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.69 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3803…7eafbacked Under | 1c | 843.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 208 | 50.5%105 W · 103 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 57c | 573.73$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.27 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 16c | 469.76$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.71 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Over | 70c | 450$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.25 | 198 | 38.4%76 W · 122 L | -18.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over | 71c | 450$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.5 | 190 | 39.5%75 W · 115 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over | 71c | 450$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.5 | 190 | 39.5%75 W · 115 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 54c | 442.49$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.25 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 29c | 426$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.46 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Over | 20c | 389.52$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.62 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 76c | 328$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.28 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 76c | 328$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.28 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 78c | 313.47$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.05 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Over | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 69c | 289.17$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.06 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 35c | 289.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.06 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 29c | 285.81$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.03 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba3e…4cbcbacked Under | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 37c | 249.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 331 | 20.8%69 W · 262 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 10c | 240$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Under | 77c | 232.17$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.77 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -6.7wins | -0.24per pick | 59cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 24c | 219.17$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.58 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…0d48backed Over | 23c | 218.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.7 | 87 | 32.2%28 W · 59 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 10c | 200.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8583…3f3cbacked Over | 44c | 187.7$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.4 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187d…fdecbacked Over | 25c | 174.57$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +304.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 172 | 18.6%32 W · 140 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed Over | 70c | 143.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.92 | 102 | 73.5%75 W · 27 L | +15.0wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 44c | 142$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.91 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Over | 24c | 120.53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.53 | 345 | 26.1%90 W · 255 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86bb…54ebbacked Over | 20c | 101$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x387a…8eaebacked Over | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 329 | 28%92 W · 237 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…f5e9backed Under | 68c | 85.14$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.78 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Under | 72c | 80$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 414 | 44.9%186 W · 228 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…2d71backed Over | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…bca8backed Under | 80c | 77.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 78c | 70$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Under | 62c | 62.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under | 63c | 62.26$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.22 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 21c | 59.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.74 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…0cc4backed Over | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 189 | 11.1%21 W · 168 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa066…16aebacked Over | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 43c | 46.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec8…c5d4backed Over | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…8607backed Under | 79c | 45.23$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.73 | 35 | 77.1%27 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf804…8028backed Under | 80c | 37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 79c | 33.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Under | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1597…6edebacked Over | 75c | 26.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 470 | 29.1%137 W · 333 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Under | 75c | 25.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc729…d7b6backed Under | 80c | 24.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 77c | 22.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 1.5this page
- Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 0.5Over won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 2.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 0.5Over won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5Over won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 4.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 5.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 0.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Australia (-1.5)Australia won
- Spread: Australia (-2.5)Türkiye won
- Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)Australia won
- Spread: Türkiye (-2.5)Australia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.