Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x281000e395142f37df935fef388eb48030fe96998618ab5a9c1620b7233cbebf

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Australiaof Türkiye, Australia
Resolved: Jun 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,404,436
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,406,061

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,404,436 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 504 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x99ae…386fbacked Australia	70c	1,393,220$974,999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$418,221.07	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.7wins	+0.24per pick	47cpaid	+75.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Türkiye	30c	981,298$294,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294,399.98	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Türkiye	30c	664,738$199,452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199,452.11	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e4c…dba2backed Australia	70c	514,288$360,002 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154,286.4	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.13per pick	53cpaid	+47.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Türkiye	22c	87,615$18,884 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,883.85	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Türkiye	31c	60,000$18,676 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,676.23	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Türkiye	30c	50,000$15,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,000	79	49.4%39 W · 40 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb58…43c2backed Australia	69c	41,200$28,428 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,771.99	40	40%16 W · 24 L	-7.3wins	-0.18per pick	58cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Australia	72c	31,663$22,869 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,793.46	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Türkiye	32c	30,000$9,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,599.86	213	43.2%92 W · 121 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Australia	68c	25,728$17,585 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,143.58	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Türkiye	30c	21,110$6,333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,333	218	36.2%79 W · 139 L	-19.0wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3da4…367ebacked Türkiye	31c	16,058$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	69	43.5%30 W · 39 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd34a…78c7backed Türkiye	32c	13,783$4,411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,410.67	137	21.2%29 W · 108 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Türkiye	9c	10,800$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	316	44.9%142 W · 174 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Türkiye	32c	10,518$3,317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,316.76	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Türkiye	31c	10,000$3,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,100	148	29.7%44 W · 104 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc04e…75d9backed Australia	69c	10,000$6,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,100	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	57cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Australia	69c	8,000$5,520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,480	137	42.3%58 W · 79 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed Türkiye	32c	7,317$2,341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,341.35	64	45.3%29 W · 35 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Australia	69c	7,141$4,918 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,222.79	281	62.6%176 W · 105 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Türkiye	31c	6,677$2,038 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,037.67	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8188…b171backed Türkiye	31c	6,000$1,850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,849.97	188	39.9%75 W · 113 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1be7…a6e3backed Türkiye	29c	5,041$1,486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,486.12	103	26.2%27 W · 76 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Türkiye	30c	5,000$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	222	29.7%66 W · 156 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Australia	69c	4,910$3,388 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,522.22	362	50.8%184 W · 178 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Türkiye	30c	4,910$1,481 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,480.66	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Türkiye	31c	4,845$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	214	42.5%91 W · 123 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Türkiye	30c	4,629$1,389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,388.77	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Türkiye	26c	4,060$1,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,059.69	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Australia	74c	4,040$3,005 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,035.25	132	59.1%78 W · 54 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Türkiye	30c	3,749$1,125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,125.3	632	55.7%352 W · 280 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Türkiye	31c	3,307$1,029 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,029.5	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Türkiye	30c	3,278$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.52	716	38.4%275 W · 441 L	+8.7wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Türkiye	31c	3,226$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	894	43.4%388 W · 506 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Türkiye	32c	3,125$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Türkiye	32c	3,125$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.97	674	47.6%321 W · 353 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Australia	68c	3,025$2,066 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$959.51	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Türkiye	25c	3,020$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$749.67	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Türkiye	32c	3,000$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$960	385	26.8%103 W · 282 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ab6…05febacked Türkiye	33c	3,000$990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$990	61	32.8%20 W · 41 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Türkiye	30c	2,906$872 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$871.66	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Türkiye	31c	2,885$894 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$894.24	1,702	36.7%625 W · 1,077 L	-31.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72de…53ffbacked Türkiye	32c	2,813$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	62	43.5%27 W · 35 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Türkiye	20c	2,690$536 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$535.62	227	31.7%72 W · 155 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Australia	69c	2,500$1,725 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$775	864	52.7%455 W · 409 L	+26.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Australia	69c	2,386$1,646 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$739.66	258	48.4%125 W · 133 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Türkiye	33c	2,000$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660	72	41.7%30 W · 42 L	-4.7wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Türkiye	32c	2,000$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$640	403	43.7%176 W · 227 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Australia	68c	2,000$1,360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$639.98	470	32.8%154 W · 316 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Türkiye	32c	1,988$631 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$631.25	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5733…4c87backed Türkiye	30c	1,930$579 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$579.03	35	34.3%12 W · 23 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf4e…dc2abacked Türkiye	31c	1,925$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-2.2wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Australia	69c	1,800$1,242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$558	352	51.7%182 W · 170 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25a1…ddf8backed Türkiye	32c	1,734$555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$555	141	42.6%60 W · 81 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c2e…f1c7backed Türkiye	32c	1,678$537 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$536.89	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Türkiye	31c	1,640$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$501.06	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Australia	68c	1,627$1,109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$517.31	481	52.4%252 W · 229 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48d9…227fbacked Türkiye	31c	1,614$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.21	73	39.7%29 W · 44 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Türkiye	31c	1,602$492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$491.86	197	34.5%68 W · 129 L	-12.9wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Australia	68c	1,587$1,081 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$506.76	847	51%432 W · 415 L	+10.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x911b…344fbacked Türkiye	32c	1,563$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	113	46%52 W · 61 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Türkiye	27c	1,538$421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420.64	1,063	31.7%337 W · 726 L	-33.7wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5a6…d556backed Türkiye	27c	1,482$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	83	41%34 W · 49 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa6…bfd5backed Türkiye	31c	1,452$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	173	9.2%16 W · 157 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-50.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7672…660dbacked Australia	69c	1,449$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$449.28	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+2.1wins	+0.13per pick	31cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Australia	68c	1,400$952 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$448	476	48.5%231 W · 245 L	+13.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Türkiye	31c	1,336$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$419.81	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Australia	68c	1,312$895 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$416.98	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57ad…698bbacked Australia	69c	1,304$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$404.35	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-31%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Australia	69c	1,288$887 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400.43	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	56cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Türkiye	20c	1,287$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.31	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xebc3…68e5backed Türkiye	31c	1,274$395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$395	57	21.1%12 W · 45 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	+32.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Türkiye	22c	1,268$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.03	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd44…e3c9backed Türkiye	28c	1,250$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	+58.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c55…c532backed Australia	69c	1,200$828 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$372	89	51.7%46 W · 43 L	+5.1wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Australia	68c	1,126$766 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$359.89	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x38b0…dd47backed Türkiye	32c	1,100$352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$352	61	29.5%18 W · 43 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5145…dd71backed Australia	68c	1,100$748 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$351.99	140	51.4%72 W · 68 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Australia	68c	1,100$748 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$351.99	374	51.6%193 W · 181 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked Türkiye	11c	1,052$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	306	7.8%24 W · 282 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ecf…9148backed Türkiye	31c	1,032$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	43	55.8%24 W · 19 L	+6.7wins	+0.15per pick	40cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Türkiye	6c	1,029$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.74	214	44.4%95 W · 119 L	+8.5wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc56…40adbacked Türkiye	30c	1,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	39	23.1%9 W · 30 L	-6.1wins	-0.16per pick	39cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0x9d6e…4018backed Türkiye	3c	1,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	91	14.3%13 W · 78 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Australia	69c	1,000$690 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$310	309	50.8%157 W · 152 L	-10.6wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Australia	67c	999.92$670 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$329.97	471	44.8%211 W · 260 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65a2…1f2abacked Australia	69c	985.23$680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$305.23	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	-4.9wins	-0.16per pick	53cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfa40…9e37backed Australia	68c	981.41$667 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$314.05	222	47.7%106 W · 116 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Türkiye	31c	975.09$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.5	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c6c…998fbacked Türkiye	32c	958.61$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306.32	250	31.6%79 W · 171 L	-9.2wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe00…e985backed Australia	69c	927.54$640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$287.54	179	50.3%90 W · 89 L	+12.9wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f79…9290backed Australia	69c	927.54$640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$287.54	105	41.9%44 W · 61 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b1…e789backed Australia	69c	927.54$640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$287.54	170	53.5%91 W · 79 L	+14.5wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5509…7212backed Australia	70c	900$630 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270	41	34.1%14 W · 27 L	-4.1wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8461…d383backed Türkiye	31c	899.98$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+78.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Türkiye	28c	881.38$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.52	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe3…ca9dbacked Türkiye	30c	833.33$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Australia	69c	769.63$531 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$238.59	354	51.4%182 W · 172 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Türkiye	31c	733.93$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.52	502	43.4%218 W · 284 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)this page
Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Australia vs. Türkiye: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Australia vs. Türkiye: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 0.5Over won
Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 1.5Over won
Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 2.5Under won
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 0.5Over won
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5Over won
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5Under won
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5Under won
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 4.5Under won
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 5.5Under won
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 0.5Under won
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 1.5Under won
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 2.5Under won
Spread: Australia (-1.5)Australia won
Spread: Australia (-2.5)Türkiye won
Spread: Türkiye (-2.5)Australia won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event