TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Australia (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Türkiyeof Australia, Türkiye
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,731
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,640

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,731 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x99f0…9495backed Australia1c16,226$130 inLost-$129.8171638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Australia7c4,735$344 inLost-$344.282,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Australia2c4,099$64 inLost-$64.463,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Australia3c4,041$138 inLost-$137.923,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d7…2ffbbacked Australia11c1,354$151 inLost-$150.78812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick21cpaid+56.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Australia7c1,290$94 inLost-$94.211,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x153a…af29backed Australia3c1,187$35 inLost-$359862.2%61 W · 37 L+20.5wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+56.8%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xa42f…b629backed Australia4c1,107$45 inLost-$458453.6%45 W · 39 L+10.8wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+45.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1985…51abbacked Australia3c994.4$30 inLost-$3012156.2%68 W · 53 L+19.7wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+69.1%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x425e…ecfabacked Australia5c808.46$37 inLost-$3711360.2%68 W · 45 L+22.2wins+0.20per pick41cpaid+63.7%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x3968…85b5backed Australia4c767.44$33 inLost-$3310761.7%66 W · 41 L+20.4wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+66.4%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x09b0…a3b6backed Australia4c748.32$32 inLost-$3214260.6%86 W · 56 L+25.7wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+49.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x03c9…d8c1backed Australia5c695.54$34 inLost-$3413158.8%77 W · 54 L+26.4wins+0.20per pick39cpaid+82.8%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Australia6c585$34 inLost-$34.3565835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked Australia9c457.46$40 inLost-$403067.8%24 W · 282 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-38.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe692…05e8backed Australia4c436.08$20 inLost-$19.68225.6%21 W · 61 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Australia3c400$10 inLost-$1033120.8%69 W · 262 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Australia4c397$14 inLost-$14.2915763.7%100 W · 57 L+16.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+16%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Australia3c355.23$12 inLost-$12.362,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd970…bbbabacked Australia5c300$15 inLost-$1519356%108 W · 85 L+34.7wins+0.18per pick38cpaid+61%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Australia9c220.76$19 inLost-$19.48,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a8f…938dbacked Australia8c199.99$17 inLost-$16.83735.1%13 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Australia11c111.83$12 inLost-$1251429.4%151 W · 363 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.