Fifa International · resolved market
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5138e24ab6bd78f9f35646a4da1e5c0debe130f0020502ef8ab7cdb1010fafa2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $245,122
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $317,706
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $245,122 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 9c | 33,723$3,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,184.37 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 9c | 11,111$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 218 | 36.2%79 W · 139 L | -19.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 8c | 7,613$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.58 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 10c | 6,355$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.13 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 4c | 6,092$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.26 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 11c | 5,747$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.14 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 6c | 5,250$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.66 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Over | 7c | 5,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 12c | 3,333$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 10c | 2,602$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.21 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Over | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 9c | 2,359$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.04 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 12c | 2,262$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.44 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7776…be8dbacked Over | 4c | 2,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 12c | 1,663$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.62 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed Over | 7c | 1,655$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.83 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +14.5wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3e68…fcb9backed Over | 5c | 1,486$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.04 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +9.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 8c | 1,470$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.3 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked Over | 7c | 1,358$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.07 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Over | 2c | 1,351$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…2763backed Over | 11c | 1,273$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 186 | 26.3%49 W · 137 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 4c | 950$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed Over | 6c | 750$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 6c | 710.47$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed Over | 5c | 680.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +26.4wins | +0.20per pick | 39cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked Over | 6c | 618$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +22.2wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 10c | 595$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.85 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed Over | 6c | 583.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | +20.5wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3f63…89f3backed Over | 12c | 555.08$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.61 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 11c | 554.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.05 | 438 | 26.3%115 W · 323 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed Over | 6c | 550.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +20.4wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed Over | 6c | 534$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | +25.7wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c3…dde1backed Over | 4c | 518.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -46%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Over | 6c | 501$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +19.7wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 331 | 20.8%69 W · 262 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 10c | 406.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5690…7a58backed Over | 7c | 379.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 87 | 31%27 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked Over | 5c | 300.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +34.7wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +61%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 227 | 31.7%72 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 9c | 300$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde70…615fbacked Over | 5c | 254.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 451 | 20.6%93 W · 358 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…9405backed Over | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac5a…1ac8backed Over | 7c | 232.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +42%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 11c | 208.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 438 | 19.2%84 W · 354 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e0…da81backed Over | 6c | 199.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…4576backed Over | 8c | 192.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a6…08bfbacked Over | 6c | 186.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcd…9293backed Over | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…02b0backed Over | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 365 | 34.2%125 W · 240 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 12c | 149.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 465 | 25.4%118 W · 347 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked Over | 10c | 140$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 323 | 17.6%57 W · 266 L | -43.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6e03…8b79backed Over | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Over | 11c | 129.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Over | 9c | 117.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78c1…473ebacked Over | 11c | 112.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 513 | 15.6%80 W · 433 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…0cc4backed Over | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 189 | 11.1%21 W · 168 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x387a…8eaebacked Over | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 329 | 28%92 W · 237 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Over | 12c | 96.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 4.5this page
- Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 0.5Over won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 1.5Over won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 2.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 0.5Over won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5Over won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 5.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 0.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Australia (-1.5)Australia won
- Spread: Australia (-2.5)Türkiye won
- Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)Australia won
- Spread: Türkiye (-2.5)Australia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.