TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,690
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$27,471

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,690 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under71c7,099$5,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,042.784,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over6c3,994$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.312,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x54ce…9f80backed Under50c2,419$1,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,216.079551.6%49 W · 46 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over52c2,121$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.432,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7eee…d930backed Over48c1,835$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.562433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.7wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-30.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4ffc…a23dbacked Over52c1,308$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.831656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf629…38d5backed Under29c1,300$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under49c1,015$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.52,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over41c996.65$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.643,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under8c987$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.042,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under49c975.25$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.132,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb54…8c93backed Over51c948.29$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.835545.5%25 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-24.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under47c840.71$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.581,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6aca…95e4backed Over46c760.04$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4377…6563backed Over50c750$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.51216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-56.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under49c583.9$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.7976551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2225…8509backed Over51c582.35$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2976550.8%33 W · 32 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under48c543$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.283,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over10c529.86$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.842,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bf7…495cbacked Under64c529.58$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.63520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-68.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over51c518.63$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.3247127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under49c509.81$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.582,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6adf…4f5bbacked Over52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26016139.8%64 W · 97 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Over71c450$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.4119838.4%76 W · 122 L-18.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over71c450$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.519039.5%75 W · 115 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over71c405.73$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.0719039.5%75 W · 115 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under51c405.6$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.874,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked Under48c378.27$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.718248.9%89 W · 93 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6aeb…2b0bbacked Over52c336.33$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.985752.6%30 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8bd…d868backed Over53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502846.4%13 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under46c279.1$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.842,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed Under49c274$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.7423036.1%83 W · 147 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcb2…02b0backed Over51c235.29$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12036534.2%125 W · 240 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Over49c230$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.731046.5%144 W · 166 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under47c217.78$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.531,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf01…859ebacked Under50c200.2$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.27842.3%33 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad90…51d2backed Over52c199.99$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10313341.4%55 W · 78 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x013b…01cfbacked Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-67.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xa2af…e3bcbacked Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006743.3%29 W · 38 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Under51c172.55$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.5562452.7%329 W · 295 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf676…b039backed Under49c169.99$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.718448.9%90 W · 94 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9717…bd55backed Over52c161.54$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Under47c153$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.6541344.1%182 W · 231 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under48c148.84$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.432855.8%183 W · 145 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over24c130.68$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.391,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over19c124.45$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.382,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Over23c112.55$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0180225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5111826.3%31 W · 87 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc23f…6c8abacked Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494231%13 W · 29 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-41.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1bf7…ea54backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517544%33 W · 42 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…8b2bbacked Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514531.1%14 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3991…b6c7backed Over20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201225%3 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-40%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under48c99.99$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.991,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72d4…9522backed Over52c97.08$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504542.2%19 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Under48c95.38$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.673234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa0a…caf5backed Over52c95.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.571711.8%2 W · 15 L-5.2wins-0.31per pick42cpaid-79.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x4361…37f6backed Over44c89$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.413444.1%15 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ca0…d5f8backed Under50c82.31$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.166248.4%30 W · 32 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa8e…22ebbacked Over51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409233.7%31 W · 61 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c66…ca45backed Under77c77$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.71250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x084a…f5e0backed Over43c64.41$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2830%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over51c64.39$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.068,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Under47c63.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.636838.6%142 W · 226 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over40c62.18$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511331%35 W · 78 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x091f…9dffbacked Under50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-35.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over23c60$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.82,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Under41c59.46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.279450%47 W · 47 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x024f…5857backed Over53c56.7$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Over50c55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.514750.3%74 W · 73 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under52c53$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.72,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Over34c50.97$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3310841.7%45 W · 63 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf69…f98ebacked Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8278…ad93backed Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2526344.5%117 W · 146 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e52…0693backed Over51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b5f…480abacked Over52c48.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512028.3%34 W · 86 L-10.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x11ed…6d16backed Over52c47.32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.783537.1%13 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x958a…df0ebacked Over52c45.86$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243333.3%11 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ee9…47e5backed Under66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.452040%8 W · 12 L-4.1wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-33.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Over59c45.32$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.882,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c70…edf3backed Over53c43.51$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234161%25 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc45d…9e87backed Over52c42.08$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223537.1%13 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5838…0179backed Over37c40.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+33.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under70c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37ec…2032backed Over52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2028149.8%140 W · 141 L+19.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over47c38.41$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.922,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6485…c2a7backed Over53c37.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa734…65dbbacked Over53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207635.5%27 W · 49 L-7.5wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-25.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Under62c37.02$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1119862.1%123 W · 75 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f80…85a7backed Over53c35.85$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over39c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.737348.3%180 W · 193 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Over51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.39850%49 W · 49 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01ba…b422backed Over53c29.93$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+37.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabfb…af49backed Over51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-34.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf672…c3c4backed Over52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1525945.2%117 W · 142 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6ae…c600backed Over51c25.49$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134864.6%31 W · 17 L+5.4wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+26.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x00bb…c45fbacked Over51c21.14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.782138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f43…9bfebacked Over52c20.96$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.92630.8%8 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-21.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2624…2650backed Over52c20.79$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92d8…a656backed Over53c20.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1111554.8%63 W · 52 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd577…7111backed Over51c20.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.