TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc23f…6c8a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
78
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: La Liga, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 58 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT4231%13 W · 29 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-41.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.5
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.54
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$122
Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$82
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$201
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
Spread: France (-3.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.85
Czechia vs. Mexico: Czechia O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.99
Colombia leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.5
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 6.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.99
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Algeria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$57
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Manchester City FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Will Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$74
Will Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$70.96
Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37
Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)backed Crystal Palace FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38
Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Brentford FC vs. West Ham United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-55.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick23cpaid+62.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$166
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$54.07
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.29
All 5 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+272.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+525%+$84
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)backed Real Betis Balompié · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$63
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)backed Lille OSC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.