TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$171,105
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$209,650

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,105 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed Under28c27,769$7,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,824.981,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under20c17,741$3,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,610.66,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over73c10,490$7,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,795.934,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under18c10,050$1,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,812.7435941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under18c4,158$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.052,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Under38c3,902$1,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,481.242653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Over66c3,765$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,264.8915470.8%109 W · 45 L+22.5wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+29.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under36c3,224$1,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,168.196139.3%24 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under32c3,019$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.7876842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over69c2,622$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.537162%44 W · 27 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+20.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Over74c2,418$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.538159.3%48 W · 33 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over77c2,346$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.225856.9%33 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under18c2,224$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.3132345.2%146 W · 177 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe533…ab29backed Over80c2,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4103928.2%11 W · 28 L-5.3wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-43.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Over77c1,969$1,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.376160.7%37 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Over64c1,572$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.110253.9%55 W · 47 L+14.1wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+58.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over67c1,490$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.75754.4%31 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed Over74c1,477$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.472462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…d4bfbacked Over70c1,430$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4293764.9%24 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed Over70c1,277$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.8910579%83 W · 22 L+22.7wins+0.22per pick57cpaid+54.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Under24c1,269$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.8617327.2%47 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over79c1,133$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.188659.3%51 W · 35 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over75c1,119$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.21,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2009254.3%50 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20030645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over67c1,000$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.182763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over74c899.97$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.999055.6%50 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over79c886.99$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.273259.4%19 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under20c834$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.2629250%146 W · 146 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Under20c826.37$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.059246.7%43 W · 49 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under34c799.99$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2724254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Over65c779.06$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.012846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under30c739.53$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.6772142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over80c600$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12055751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under18c502.44$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.4475850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under18c493.05$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.959247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under30c441.05$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.3574644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Over60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1601855.6%10 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x473c…4f61backed Over77c389.68$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.68742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4b3…c131backed Over75c360$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-46.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8010…04e4backed Over71c352.11$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.118375.9%63 W · 20 L+17.2wins+0.21per pick55cpaid+57.8%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under18c350.59$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.1159445.5%270 W · 324 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Over72c333$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.5469772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Under19c299.54$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.958442.9%36 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed Over79c283.06$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.062580%20 W · 5 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+24.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over80c275.25$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.0541850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x210e…59f5backed Over69c265$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under21c262.13$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1439555.9%221 W · 174 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ff1…c554backed Over80c256.25$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.25862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under18c246.88$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8633551.3%172 W · 163 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x419f…9cdcbacked Over69c233.07$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+43.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed Over73c199.97$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.392846.4%13 W · 15 L-4.3wins-0.15per pick62cpaid-33.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xed42…fa17backed Under25c194.4$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef20…c46abacked Under12c188.51$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.531241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over72c160.26$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.0118842.6%80 W · 108 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over66c158.82$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5418851.6%97 W · 91 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over68c146.3$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8219356%108 W · 85 L+21.4wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Over64c145.25$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.62650%13 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8daf…0f86backed Over72c130$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3f4…16f3backed Under39c128.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83de…1786backed Under19c128.09$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.511850%9 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57dc…01ffbacked Over79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.582759.3%16 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under18c125$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.56250%31 W · 31 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under18c122.35$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0280953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under18c118.75$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3769851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over73c117.54$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.511655.2%64 W · 52 L+13.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+20.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x24a3…7c66backed Over67c116.82$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.821662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over78c116.67$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6713250.8%67 W · 65 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+6.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Under22c113.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under22c110$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.274156.8%421 W · 320 L+46.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over80c105$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95c8…3469backed Under21c104.05$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8511044.5%49 W · 61 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over68c103.01$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0117161.4%105 W · 66 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Over79c102$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4218562.2%115 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1155…2315backed Over70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302277.3%17 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick72cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2259645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc23f…6c8abacked Over63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Over72c94.12$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4822057.7%127 W · 93 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3169…6dccbacked Under19c90.53$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.22347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under20c84.71$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0424557.6%141 W · 104 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7536…17fcbacked Over73c82.19$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.19887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick72cpaid+22.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e5b…bb9abacked Under19c78.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157252.8%38 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under21c77.81$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3718358.5%107 W · 76 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Over65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.921392.3%12 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick73cpaid+27.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb676…2dbbbacked Under39c76.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02b6…8f5fbacked Over73c68.13$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.652853.6%15 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick66cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e27…9967backed Over68c60.94$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.672657.7%15 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Over62c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.87157.7%41 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb81…ccfdbacked Over72c56.53$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.83250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9132…6607backed Under22c54.55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Over79c54.23$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.665543.6%24 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-15.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Over80c51.12$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.457263.9%46 W · 26 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed Under29c50.03$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.553951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cdd…3e97backed Over67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.51747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ef0…d45bbacked Under20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8429…642fbacked Over63c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.74650%3 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fcb…207cbacked Under28c48.28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.471631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe891…4b25backed Over65c46.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.153557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over70c45$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3541260.2%248 W · 164 L+22.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcfff…3d0ebacked Over69c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.43461.8%21 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.