Premier League · resolved market
Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0c53c635da130f2087735833646b47ff75909e6cd5f22c7a30f8223ccf9e14b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 16c | 18,379$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,438.95 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd10c…0645backed Over | 23c | 11,007$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,506.79 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473c…4f61backed Under | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 34c | 4,462$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,964.96 | 1,244 | 49.4%615 W · 629 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Over | 19c | 2,386$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,932.38 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 72c | 2,294$1,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.01 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 19c | 1,943$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,577.42 | 742 | 56.9%422 W · 320 L | +46.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 79c | 1,877$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.9 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 80c | 1,800$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 79c | 1,593$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.8 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 74c | 1,356$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.17 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…a898backed Under | 52c | 1,300$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 76c | 1,259$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.06 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 57c | 1,256$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.44 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…d24dbacked Over | 18c | 729$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.44 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 8c | 650$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea4d…c654backed Under | 50c | 650$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 79c | 633.77$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.38 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 80c | 619.68$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.74 | 604 | 45.4%274 W · 330 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 77c | 551.33$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.97 | 227 | 44.1%100 W · 127 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 24c | 539.75$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.75 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 20c | 535$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Under | 19c | 526$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed Over | 51c | 490.49$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.49 | 83 | 75.9%63 W · 20 L | +17.2wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Under | 77c | 455.14$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 80c | 409.36$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.49 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 56c | 408.99$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.12 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 228 | 32.9%75 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Under | 6c | 241.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 3cpaid | +2,400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfa…d143backed Over | 20c | 234.56$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.65 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1354…19f7backed Over | 21c | 231.29$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +133.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…8027backed Under | 79c | 228.19$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73e2…264cbacked Over | 25c | 211.76$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.76 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.47per pick | 40cpaid | +166.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 52c | 206.67$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.47 | 132 | 50.8%67 W · 65 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Over | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 306 | 45.8%140 W · 166 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Over | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +5.8wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 21c | 180$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.2 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff88…601dbacked Under | 80c | 171.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad2…fb00backed Over | 20c | 145$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 80c | 144.94$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.95 | 337 | 51.3%173 W · 164 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…3469backed Over | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.86 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd79…60a6backed Over | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 24cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Under | 56c | 133$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.27 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…c9bfbacked Over | 20c | 125$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 22cpaid | +211.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked Under | 14c | 120$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 80c | 120$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…e910backed Over | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.19per pick | 24cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Over | 19c | 102.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.22 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe503…6d7bbacked Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…dc9bbacked Over | 20c | 99.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.44 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 20c | 95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 56c | 84$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.41 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 20c | 82.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.95 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4436…cf98backed Over | 19c | 82.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.59 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Over | 16c | 79.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.72 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Over | 20c | 75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Over | 21c | 64.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.35 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a6…aed7backed Under | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 88.9%24 W · 3 L | +5.3wins | +0.20per pick | 69cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9abb…3f96backed Under | 78c | 63.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.29per pick | 65cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Under | 53c | 61.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…63ecbacked Over | 20c | 60$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5354…2785backed Under | 80c | 58.41$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.67 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 19c | 56.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.78 | 220 | 57.7%127 W · 93 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…ac63backed Over | 19c | 56.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.76 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Over | 20c | 52.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.15 | 150 | 46%69 W · 81 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 20c | 52.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.08 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 53c | 44.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 206 | 51.9%107 W · 99 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 75c | 32.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Under | 63c | 28.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 53c | 26.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7079…58e8backed Over | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 54c | 22.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 410 | 21.7%89 W · 321 L | -54.8wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Under | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 78c | 15.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Everton FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Everton FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Everton FC won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Everton FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.