TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$153,617
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$177,173

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,617 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x689c…6b1ebacked Under1c33,024$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.243148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over51c17,287$8,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,469.414,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Under46c10,949$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0008962.9%56 W · 33 L+0.4wins0.00per pick62cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under68c9,893$6,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,6926,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under40c9,493$3,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,797.396139.3%24 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Over30c5,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,499.981050%5 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+56.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over38c3,936$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,436.3120545.4%93 W · 112 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Under63c3,810$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4003871.1%27 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over37c3,785$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,384.2535652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over56c3,620$2,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,577.991,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf367…212ebacked Under46c2,174$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over48c2,167$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.131,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over38c2,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,24013630.9%42 W · 94 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over27c2,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,46011828%33 W · 85 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over38c1,842$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,142.1110739.3%42 W · 65 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdda3…b20cbacked Under38c1,789$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6803941%16 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Over61c1,639$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.344645.7%21 W · 25 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+30.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d22…4b50backed Under40c1,252$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Under64c1,244$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8005442.6%23 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Over38c1,200$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7449042.2%38 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x928a…8044backed Over60c1,200$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4801100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under63c1,190$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.785048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under36c1,179$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.973928.2%11 W · 28 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-54.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb492…f6f3backed Under72c1,021$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4cd…a898backed Under46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d71…8da4backed Under62c1,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6204841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over21c999.99$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.9919235.9%69 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over56c928$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.3282763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xa66d…6daabacked Under49c907.74$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.13450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over61c869.46$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.8672142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Over61c819.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.678949.4%44 W · 45 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a2d…6db9backed Over38c801.46$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.9515543.9%68 W · 87 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb9…bb3cbacked Over33c799.99$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.992133.3%7 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick21cpaid+62%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x473c…4f61backed Under71c791.03$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x98f2…65dcbacked Over63c783.48$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.898959.6%53 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under62c721.71$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.2235941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over22c670$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.454129.3%12 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+39%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under62c630$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.4569851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over34c590$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.9517327.2%47 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c0a…cbc9backed Over39c579.77$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.666142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb8a…45aabacked Under75c533.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400850%4 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over38c510.53$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.531060%6 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+53.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2009157.1%52 W · 39 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-12.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010850.9%55 W · 53 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2252245.5%10 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+41.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over14c499.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.9913721.2%29 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea4d…c654backed Under45c499.98$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under40c495.05$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.7496645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7521…9997backed Under79c453.16$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3581844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fbc…f944backed Under77c450$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.51163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over55c433.35$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.0176842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under39c428.86$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.9513250.8%67 W · 65 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+6.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Over38c421.76$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.494837.5%18 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over37c400$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25255751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over58c400$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16830645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under62c387.31$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.1759247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over36c377.69$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.729254.3%50 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under52c346$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.5211753%62 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ae2…6ca6backed Under39c317.52$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.83771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+31.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8ca…c93abacked Over63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.461250%6 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf41…9108backed Over63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.462100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+110.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under41c311.42$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.1741343.3%179 W · 234 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over62c309.98$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.795940.7%24 W · 35 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid+7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a7a…c68dbacked Under69c305.41$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Over63c301.59$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.592528%7 W · 18 L-7.4wins-0.29per pick57cpaid-48.5%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under63c300$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1894852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9101…78ddbacked Under75c300$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Under40c299.98$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.99955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73e2…264cbacked Over15c286.93$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.89887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.8wins+0.47per pick40cpaid+166.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over36c280$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.25742.1%24 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0320…3757backed Under78c255.28$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under40c227.37$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.7620440.7%83 W · 121 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1925…b15dbacked Over38c215.19$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.42250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over38c210.53$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.536437.5%24 W · 40 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over38c205.31$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.4754340.5%220 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over35c203.87$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.511,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Over37c189.19$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.1912652.4%66 W · 60 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+11.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under72c187.06$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.5574644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Over61c170.49$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.492857.1%16 W · 12 L+5.8wins+0.21per pick37cpaid+46.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under62c164.26$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.8422146.2%102 W · 119 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc454…8c31backed Under38c158.92$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.392218.2%4 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7335347.6%168 W · 185 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2e3…d1ffbacked Under64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Under66c153.64$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.929246.7%43 W · 49 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d68…4354backed Under75c150$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.51546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over36c149.98$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.9933551.3%172 W · 163 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Under38c139.97$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.893243.8%14 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.148037.5%30 W · 50 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over37c134.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.719957.6%57 W · 42 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdded…13a2backed Under40c130.05$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.021457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x210e…59f5backed Over60c129.67$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.162100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee5…bc7bbacked Under64c125$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick58cpaid-56.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Over37c124.32$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.322045%9 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+28.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under42c116.67$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496442.2%27 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over63c111.11$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1117161.4%105 W · 66 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over37c108.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1135328.6%101 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc338…974ebacked Over39c102.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.562744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54f6…b0f2backed Over61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d4…8c7fbacked Over55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-38.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under63c99.99$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6315738.9%61 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.