Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Everton FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x297b1d2b8d0fe3592464edf502ed39699cb1df48b094f6d3e360b79f91d0cc7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Manchester City FCof Everton FC, Manchester City FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,861
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,696
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,861 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Everton FC | 4c | 18,104$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.18 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf367…212ebacked Everton FC | 41c | 3,698$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Everton FC | 14c | 2,125$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.25 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…9419backed Everton FC | 4c | 1,120$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.56 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Everton FC | 3c | 442.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 584 | 46.1%269 W · 315 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Everton FC | 4c | 382.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Everton FC | 4c | 300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 173 | 27.2%47 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Everton FC | 13c | 277.2$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Everton FC | 5c | 264$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Everton FC | 46c | 248.83$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.53 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2a…5f8fbacked Everton FC | 8c | 204.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8dd…21a8backed Manchester City FC | 40c | 203.33$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +151.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Everton FC | 60c | 180.68$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.94 | 964 | 45.4%438 W · 526 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Everton FC | 64c | 165.36$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.01 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Everton FC | 23c | 132.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…dbfdbacked Everton FC | 16c | 122.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…d702backed Everton FC | 14c | 112.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…ccfdbacked Everton FC | 14c | 106.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Everton FC | 17c | 102.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 209 | 56%117 W · 92 L | +15.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Everton FC | 16c | 76.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Everton FC | 14c | 71.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Everton FC | 50c | 50.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 200 | 41%82 W · 118 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Everton FC | 55c | 46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 412 | 43.4%179 W · 233 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Manchester City FC | 49c | 40.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.89 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Manchester City FC | 53c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Everton FC (-1.5)this page
- Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Everton FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Everton FC won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Everton FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.