TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$377,050
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$471,853

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $377,050 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 296 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed Under58c34,136$19,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,862.221,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x700f…37aebacked Over61c32,490$19,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,591.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over54c23,722$12,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,869.7310739.3%42 W · 65 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Under50c23,405$11,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,777.162653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under39c19,049$7,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,402.613353.4%71 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Over61c16,509$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,509.438962.9%56 W · 33 L+0.4wins0.00per pick62cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c8,522$4,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,159.116,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under39c8,373$3,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,251.32,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over44c8,023$3,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,456.124,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Under40c6,800$2,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,72020140.8%82 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under39c5,313$2,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,064.2835941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under41c5,245$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,150.3715757.3%90 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under54c5,072$2,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,722.1776842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ab1…b4ecbacked Under57c4,386$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5001145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over50c4,090$2,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,036.927955.9%156 W · 123 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdda3…b20cbacked Over61c4,082$2,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,592.243941%16 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over53c3,774$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,773.7812649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under44c3,418$1,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,504.116139.3%24 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under39c3,146$1,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,227.0885048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over30c3,082$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,171.685856.9%33 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over54c3,013$1,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,386.9619235.9%69 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over42c3,009$1,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,736.912245.5%10 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+41.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over53c3,000$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,424.9113630.9%42 W · 94 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over32c2,816$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,905.868659.3%51 W · 35 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under39c2,600$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.9855751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under39c2,500$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.9935652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c0a…a9bebacked Under43c2,200$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.951435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over61c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78013837%51 W · 87 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Under41c1,855$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.33944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under40c1,760$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.841850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Under42c1,667$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7005442.6%23 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa7e…6f50backed Over62c1,620$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.6580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+24.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under40c1,617$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.1159445.5%270 W · 324 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe612…ee20backed Over61c1,392$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.731752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Under39c1,385$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.1542048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over43c1,358$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.146852.9%36 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0294…138cbacked Over60c1,167$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under54c1,165$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.7874644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under42c1,096$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.148756.3%49 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4fbc…095ebacked Over50c1,087$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.161118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.26per pick45cpaid-66.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Over28c1,071$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.434645.7%21 W · 25 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+30.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under39c1,050$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.527752.3%145 W · 132 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Over60c1,033$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.333650%18 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e98…ed3dbacked Over53c1,019$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.87771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e16…b78abacked Under53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5301050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e7…50d1backed Under40c987.5$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3951145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+29.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over63c974.6$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.63154.8%17 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Under54c951.39$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.8517327.2%47 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.414138.3%54 W · 87 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x55e1…c25cbacked Under43c930.42$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked Under41c878$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.024330.2%13 W · 30 L-5.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-37.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over59c856.58$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.240655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under39c800.01$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31280953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over55c783.33$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.186451.6%33 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over47c744.46$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.674156.8%421 W · 320 L+46.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x32df…cce8backed Over40c700$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4201855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Over46c625.74$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.91877.8%14 W · 4 L+3.6wins+0.20per pick58cpaid+36.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under40c600$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2404852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaec3…22dfbacked Over60c600$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked Under48c600$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2864151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d46…3e2dbacked Under35c599.99$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2102821.4%6 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick14cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over59c590$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.98637.2%32 W · 54 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over31c579.75$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.1321250%106 W · 106 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over46c566.67$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.6722242.8%95 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under39c555.85$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.5569851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under38c520.61$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.2372142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under41c504$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.0496645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Over62c502.55$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.555856.9%33 W · 25 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a2d…6db9backed Over61c501.64$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.6415543.9%68 W · 87 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xccbd…f1b7backed Over60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001136.4%4 W · 7 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick66cpaid-42.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5ae2…6ca6backed Over65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+31.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Over60c493.18$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.271172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+32.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe398…4ce5backed Under64c468.75$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002560%15 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick72cpaid-16.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under43c465.16$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.7913250.8%67 W · 65 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+6.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Over44c454.45$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.492857.1%16 W · 12 L+5.8wins+0.21per pick37cpaid+46.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under44c450$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.7577336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39d…a5e9backed Over61c439.56$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.432360.9%14 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e61…19bdbacked Under52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2083351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1607439.2%29 W · 45 L-6.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc51a…7ad9backed Over47c389.94$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.123240.6%13 W · 19 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-18.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under41c380.61$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.1818842.6%80 W · 108 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc29…422abacked Over53c375.32$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.41838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Over53c370.28$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.569246.7%43 W · 49 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd814…7f65backed Over60c350$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1575…3d32backed Over60c331.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.64875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over35c329.7$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.3114055%77 W · 63 L+18.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+29.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under71c322.54$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2296160.7%37 W · 24 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a4a…044ebacked Over61c318.67$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.281070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75af…145fbacked Under40c315$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1534129.3%12 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+39%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over39c300$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18313721.2%29 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a08…2e25backed Over55c299.99$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1354252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over64c284.08$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.271,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over53c283.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.028851.1%45 W · 43 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27ac…188dbacked Over54c273.61$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.866262.9%39 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73e2…264cbacked Over39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.41887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.8wins+0.47per pick40cpaid+166.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under47c254.18$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.631,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2831…e84dbacked Over40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1502450%12 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under39c247.86$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9759247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed Under40c246.95$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003644.4%16 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.