TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0eb9…bb3c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
185
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5516.4%9 W · 46 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-54.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,760Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,759.99
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$7,604Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+541.6%+$41,183.56
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$670Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$670
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,949Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,949
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$2,812Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,811.55
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.48
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.22
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Argentina vs. Egypt: Neither team to score first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.62
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$224
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,284.57
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$216
Australia vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
Australia to score first vs. Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.64
Spread: Australia (-1.5)backed Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$490
England vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Spread: DR Congo (-1.5)backed DR Congo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT3122.6%7 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.5
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.97
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.41
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$421.34
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.19
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,540Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,540.12
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.17
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.12
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$115.4
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$34.29
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.2
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.21
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+144.4%+$74.1
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.02
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.75
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT2133.3%7 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick21cpaid+62%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Coventry City FC (-1.5)backed Coventry City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.38
Will Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)backed Aston Villa FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.23
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Aston Villa FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$36.67
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)backed Aston Villa FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.54
Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: West Ham United FC (-1.5)backed West Ham United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$88
Spread: Burnley FC (-1.5)backed Burnley FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.18
Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+206.5%+$538.99
Millwall FC vs. Oxford United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Manchester City FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$73
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.76
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$15.74
Southampton FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.86
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$101.99
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+361.5%+$235
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.09
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+900%+$624.74
All 21 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+941.7%+$903.99
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 211.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.91
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.64
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.33
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.01
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$557Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$557.36
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Thunder vs. Suns: 1H O/U 103.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$20.95
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.17
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 17 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+71.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+525%+$84
Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+445.4%+$97.99
FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-2.5)backed Real Betis Balompié · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.15
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Valencia CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$38.57
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+75.3%+$224.66
Getafe CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$300
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+108.3%+$13
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+88.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$223.96
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$228.48
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.08
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Iran strike Israel on March 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$32.43
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+881.4%+$3,075.99
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+488.2%+$830
All 9 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick21cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-39.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.34
Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.48
Real Madrid vs. Hapoel Tel Avivbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+51.5%+$34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
S&P 500 all time high by February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$166.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Bridgerton: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? (February 3, 2026)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$51.87
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.