TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$167,895
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$216,125

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,895 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3936…366dbacked Over53c33,800$17,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,923.962100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c17,230$8,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,479.914,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under47c16,478$7,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,749.6484144.8%377 W · 464 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a91…c6b1backed Over52c13,685$7,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,569.017656.6%43 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x890e…db10backed Over52c8,585$4,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,148.77250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c4,314$2,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,007.541,18651.7%613 W · 573 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ba2…1650backed Under48c4,167$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002040%8 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-21.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over51c3,840$1,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,88412132.2%39 W · 82 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under46c3,833$1,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,775.73,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed Under50c3,789$1,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8822475%18 W · 6 L+6.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+63.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under48c3,368$1,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,606.859457.4%54 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over53c2,830$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.196550.8%33 W · 32 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over52c2,577$1,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248.314540%18 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over60c2,500$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0005341.5%22 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under41c2,436$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012020%24 W · 96 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9409052.2%47 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed Over52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9601957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under48c1,852$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.7911154.1%60 W · 51 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under48c1,600$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.866756.7%38 W · 29 L+9.8wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+36.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc83f…23e4backed Over60c1,492$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.5977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick70cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cec…d241backed Under47c1,489$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under48c1,400$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67210760.7%65 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over44c1,303$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.521,66243.7%727 W · 935 L-23.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Over54c1,204$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.79054.4%49 W · 41 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under48c1,200$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57610558.1%61 W · 44 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e68…16c7backed Over65c1,195$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.264146.3%19 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under46c1,109$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.126360.3%38 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under47c1,084$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.971,01733.4%340 W · 677 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Under47c1,048$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.456160.7%37 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47018158.6%106 W · 75 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4807358.9%43 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4901926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over53c999.99$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.074235.7%15 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf032…895dbacked Under64c999.99$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over38c995.19$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.9322859.6%136 W · 92 L+18.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over53c924.85$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.8722246.8%104 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under46c920$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.25757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over38c919.77$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.9949057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over41c825.34$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.1357839.3%227 W · 351 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under48c800$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38412358.5%72 W · 51 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under48c800$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38410257.8%59 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fac…2f27backed Under66c757.58$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over36c621.99$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.291631.3%5 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8da…5edfbacked Under39c615.04$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under48c600$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28810859.3%64 W · 44 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08ce…86d3backed Under48c600$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under48c600$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2889056.7%51 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20a3…0fcabacked Under6c537.23$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2330%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under48c520$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.69556.8%54 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Under60c511.03$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.2113347.4%63 W · 70 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked Over50c508.92$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.463444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over59c508.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.473366.7%22 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3505…3ab0backed Under62c508.06$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-2.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xab88…3761backed Under58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23513362.4%83 W · 50 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23513062.3%81 W · 49 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Under49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2452941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23512166.1%80 W · 41 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Over49c499.88$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.196460.9%39 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over35c482.54$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.4312470.2%87 W · 37 L+30.3wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+70%equal weight73+0.20 edge/pick
0xfc3a…7fdcbacked Under41c432.77$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed2a…b471backed Under50c394.16$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over53c344.74$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.036962.3%43 W · 26 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under49c335.47$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.0946040.9%188 W · 272 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under47c320$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.49753.6%52 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27b0…2758backed Under48c312.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-44.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under48c312$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.769553.7%51 W · 44 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7a6…aed7backed Under68c310.15$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.53262.5%20 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under65c300$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1953342.4%14 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbb20…a151backed Under47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-72.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.125646.4%26 W · 30 L+6.9wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under46c280$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.88758.6%51 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under62c274.43$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.7592345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under48c271.85$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.499058.9%53 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over52c264.97$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.621,57751.4%811 W · 766 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under30c263.1$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.1822760.4%137 W · 90 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under7c236.87$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6184939.7%337 W · 512 L-21.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1f4…2df9backed Under64c231.42$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.11862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x061e…6a2cbacked Under48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over52c208.24$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.9648251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969258.7%54 W · 38 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968457.1%48 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over31c197.42$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.6228138.8%109 W · 172 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under47c195.13$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.7116660.8%101 W · 65 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a4a…044ebacked Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.312100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c9f…fa1cbacked Over54c178.5$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.222100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+60.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81ed…6879backed Under60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc582…853cbacked Under11c162.47$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.68510.6%9 W · 76 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick13cpaid+17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over59c158.33$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.9219258.9%113 W · 79 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over52c141.67$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6865356.5%369 W · 284 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed Under48c139.74$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.085570.9%39 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcac6…bdf8backed Under51c132.37$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684755.3%26 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over41c122.91$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.1817663.1%111 W · 65 L+32.7wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+64.9%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x6bcb…f3afbacked Under40c122.75$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under47c119$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9322446%103 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde19…e90dbacked Under38c115.98$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.071250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over36c115.65$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.0216363.8%104 W · 59 L+32.3wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+66.9%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over52c115.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.383650%18 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over50c108.69$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3592254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc18…2fd7backed Over47c107.3$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.