La Liga · resolved market

FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fac80276e97303a59320ce639af79825a8e5d2b177b2d39cf9140637f697315

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: May 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $58,940
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $73,240

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,940 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in La Liga
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6e46…42dfbacked Under	1c	6,104$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.04	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	35c	5,863$2,067 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,067.28	4,740	47%2,230 W · 2,510 L	-23.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over	78c	3,919$3,041 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$877.18	228	59.6%136 W · 92 L	+18.2wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+55.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Over	58c	2,584$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,083.62	59	55.9%33 W · 26 L	+4.7wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+61.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under	31c	2,392$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	120	20%24 W · 96 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	62c	2,323$1,451 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$871.74	3,449	43%1,484 W · 1,965 L	+32.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under	26c	2,019$525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525	180	46.7%84 W · 96 L	+11.1wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over	57c	2,000$1,140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$860	121	32.2%39 W · 82 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked Under	42c	1,800$748 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$748.42	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over	52c	1,623$840 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$783.26	571	39.2%224 W · 347 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43a4…e738backed Over	72c	1,513$1,089 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$423.54	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x319f…500bbacked Over	74c	1,351$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$351.35	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.13per pick	57cpaid	+24.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under	43c	1,276$544 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$543.8	83	51.8%43 W · 40 L	+4.1wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under	38c	1,250$475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$475	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-4.2wins	-0.13per pick	55cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9762…73fbbacked Over	74c	1,228$909 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$319.33	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	75cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over	65c	1,200$778 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$421.87	490	57.1%280 W · 210 L	+26.6wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under	16c	1,167$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.23	225	53.8%121 W · 104 L	+18.6wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	41c	1,140$469 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$468.97	834	44.6%372 W · 462 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	16c	1,095$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.92	839	39.8%334 W · 505 L	-21.0wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	31c	1,033$324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$323.62	999	33.4%334 W · 665 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over	73c	999.9$730 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$269.97	91	47.3%43 W · 48 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e68…16c7backed Over	74c	930.59$689 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$241.95	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4af7…2381backed Over	74c	801.05$593 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.27	48	45.8%22 W · 26 L	+4.5wins	+0.09per pick	36cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e02…3667backed Under	19c	786.35$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.61	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.3wins	+0.12per pick	52cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over	62c	629.27$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$239.72	113	31%35 W · 78 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	27c	627.47$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.01	2,343	48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x98f2…65dcbacked Over	64c	613.13$392 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220.77	40	65%26 W · 14 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	60cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Over	65c	613.08$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$213.08	41	58.5%24 W · 17 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	63cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under	49c	561.05$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.11	132	51.5%68 W · 64 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Over	56c	499.98$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$219.99	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-3.2wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e7d…fa81backed Under	20c	449.09$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.58	17	76.5%13 W · 4 L	+5.7wins	+0.33per pick	43cpaid	+89.9%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0x8374…f183backed Over	67c	429.99$288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.9	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8252…e65cbacked Over	46c	428.41$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$231.34	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Under	51c	392.35$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-2.8wins	-0.15per pick	41cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	62c	364.63$226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.56	684	50.6%346 W · 338 L	+15.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Over	57c	310$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.3	80	40%32 W · 48 L	-6.3wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Under	27c	305.85$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.58	77	50.6%39 W · 38 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Over	71c	280.9$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.9	133	47.4%63 W · 70 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under	47c	275.24$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.63	923	45.5%420 W · 503 L	-30.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under	34c	254.5$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.53	608	32.4%197 W · 411 L	-12.8wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over	47c	187.04$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.28	281	38.8%109 W · 172 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Under	27c	177.78$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under	28c	168.11$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.07	403	57.1%230 W · 173 L	+7.6wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39f7…60d5backed Under	61c	163.93$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	25	52%13 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e8a…acc5backed Over	63c	158.24$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.55	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.26per pick	60cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe32e…a3eebacked Over	74c	157.05$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.83	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over	66c	157.02$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.82	163	63.8%104 W · 59 L	+32.3wins	+0.20per pick	44cpaid	+66.9%equal weight	69+0.17 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over	61c	148.12$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.31	175	62.9%110 W · 65 L	+32.1wins	+0.18per pick	45cpaid	+64.6%equal weight	68+0.16 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Over	61c	139.99$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.6	51	49%25 W · 26 L	-3.7wins	-0.07per pick	56cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over	75c	133.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.33	32	59.4%19 W · 13 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd83d…c57ebacked Over	74c	101.35$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.35	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.26per pick	74cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over	60c	100$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	387	48.1%186 W · 201 L	+17.0wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	55c	100$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	402	39.1%157 W · 245 L	-11.1wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over	62c	99$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.62	124	70.2%87 W · 37 L	+30.3wins	+0.24per pick	46cpaid	+70%equal weight	73+0.20 edge/pick
0x5a6b…68a0backed Over	75c	90.67$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.67	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+2.1wins	+0.13per pick	52cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over	60c	80$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32	421	58%244 W · 177 L	+29.1wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcac6…bdf8backed Under	27c	74.07$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	47	55.3%26 W · 21 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	37c	73.66$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.09	1,655	43.8%725 W · 930 L	-22.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde19…e90dbacked Under	31c	72$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.32	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6af…05c6backed Under	58c	69.26$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	-3.7wins	-0.12per pick	48cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under	16c	68.31$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.78	141	40.4%57 W · 84 L	-5.8wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Under	19c	67.43$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.81	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.16per pick	41cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc9f…21f7backed Over	74c	67$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.42	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	76cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe80f…b81bbacked Over	75c	66.67$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.67	14	85.7%12 W · 2 L	+2.8wins	+0.20per pick	66cpaid	+26.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over	46c	63.23$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.04	373	48.3%180 W · 193 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under	36c	60.61$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.01	744	57.5%428 W · 316 L	+22.4wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeec3…6bd2backed Under	44c	56.82$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.21per pick	46cpaid	+43.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Under	27c	55$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.85	51	19.6%10 W · 41 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8720…ea73backed Over	70c	50$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.2	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.19per pick	69cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over	73c	42.85$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.57	482	51.2%247 W · 235 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe626…92b5backed Under	60c	41.75$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	54	51.9%28 W · 26 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f5…3047backed Over	74c	40.54$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.54	98	57.1%56 W · 42 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e68…682abacked Over	74c	38.66$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.05	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.26per pick	74cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8684…bfaabacked Under	26c	38.49$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.01	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Over	67c	36$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.03	240	48.3%116 W · 124 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-13%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over	70c	35.1$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.49	596	55.4%330 W · 266 L	+31.1wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over	67c	34.66$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.41	20	65%13 W · 7 L	+2.2wins	+0.11per pick	54cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Over	74c	33.78$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.78	214	57.5%123 W · 91 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x018a…5e65backed Over	74c	33.61$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.74	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	74cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Over	63c	31.43$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.63	61	70.5%43 W · 18 L	+9.9wins	+0.16per pick	54cpaid	+27.9%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over	63c	31.37$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.61	94	66%62 W · 32 L	+11.2wins	+0.12per pick	54cpaid	+24%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under	40c	30$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.96	261	54.4%142 W · 119 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f1c…390dbacked Over	74c	28.07$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.3	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x914b…a886backed Over	60c	25$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	23	73.9%17 W · 6 L	+2.8wins	+0.12per pick	62cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over	73c	18.52$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	454	50%227 W · 227 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0fad…28b8backed Over	72c	15.57$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.42	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.12per pick	63cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe21…2f9cbacked Over	74c	15$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.9	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	68cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Over	73c	14.14$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.86	61	63.9%39 W · 22 L	+6.1wins	+0.10per pick	54cpaid	+16%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5this page
FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 0.5Over won
FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5Over won
FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5Over won
FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 4.5Under won
FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)FC Barcelona won
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)Real Betis Balompié won
Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)FC Barcelona won
Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-2.5)FC Barcelona won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event