La Liga · resolved market
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8ad5bb18c3f8cca2a42707f418b2e5fc649f2bf16ae4b2f0df2f2065b04a623
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Real Betis Balompiéof FC Barcelona, Real Betis Balompié
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,513
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,711
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,513 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed FC Barcelona | 31c | 3,449$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.32 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FC Barcelona | 7c | 3,145$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.28 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Real Betis Balompié | 69c | 1,407$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.06 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Real Betis Balompié | 69c | 836.69$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.76 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed FC Barcelona | 28c | 535.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…d9c3backed FC Barcelona | 30c | 470$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.28per pick | 43cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Real Betis Balompié | 68c | 378.14$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.6 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed FC Barcelona | 29c | 308.73$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 140 | 28.6%40 W · 100 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Real Betis Balompié | 72c | 279.39$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.39 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked FC Barcelona | 31c | 272.97$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.62 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed FC Barcelona | 38c | 222.2$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.24 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Real Betis Balompié | 69c | 208.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.57 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked FC Barcelona | 24c | 199.6$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.74 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Real Betis Balompié | 73c | 136.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.36 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked FC Barcelona | 32c | 135.63$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbb…48f2backed Real Betis Balompié | 72c | 127.06$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.58 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed FC Barcelona | 30c | 115.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed FC Barcelona | 25c | 105.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…d242backed FC Barcelona | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0a…898cbacked Real Betis Balompié | 70c | 98.57$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b38…52c8backed Real Betis Balompié | 72c | 77.2$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e4…85f8backed FC Barcelona | 29c | 77.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Real Betis Balompié | 70c | 73.27$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed FC Barcelona | 31c | 71.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Real Betis Balompié | 72c | 70.91$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Real Betis Balompié | 68c | 61.15$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Real Betis Balompié | 68c | 60.01$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 91 | 63.7%58 W · 33 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Real Betis Balompié | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed FC Barcelona | 32c | 56.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked FC Barcelona | 23c | 54.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x746f…8dc7backed Real Betis Balompié | 75c | 50.67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9883…1d31backed FC Barcelona | 30c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +126.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Real Betis Balompié | 68c | 46.75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Real Betis Balompié | 76c | 44.22$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Real Betis Balompié | 70c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Real Betis Balompié | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 194 | 61.9%120 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Real Betis Balompié | 69c | 41.08$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…4484backed Real Betis Balompié | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Real Betis Balompié | 75c | 39.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Real Betis Balompié | 72c | 37.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 402 | 39.1%157 W · 245 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…0b46backed FC Barcelona | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Real Betis Balompié | 69c | 25.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Real Betis Balompié | 68c | 24.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Real Betis Balompié | 67c | 20.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 106 | 34%36 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b0…2554backed Real Betis Balompié | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Real Betis Balompié | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeceb…29a4backed Real Betis Balompié | 69c | 15.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)this page
- FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)FC Barcelona won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)FC Barcelona won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-2.5)FC Barcelona won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.