TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x890e…db10

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
45
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: CS2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT2835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.69
Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.99
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,537Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,536.71
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$4,899Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,899
Brazil vs. Japan: Japan O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,939Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,938.63
Japan vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.02
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$6,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,250.45
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,527Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,526.6
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$2,940.26
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$649Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$649.1
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10,132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,131.87
Brazil vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,100
England vs. New Zealand: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,999.97
Portugal vs. Chile: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$4,453Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,453.17
France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$9,240Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$12,759.94
France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$9,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,200
Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$9,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,449.99
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$9,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,000
Wales vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$5,250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$9,749.88
Morocco vs. Madagascar: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$10,000
Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$6,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,799.96
Austria vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$6,693Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+96.8%+$6,481.61
Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$7,140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$6,859.96
Norway vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$7,560Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$6,439.83
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10,792Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,791.73
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16,736Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16,736.18
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24,115Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$44,785
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18,093Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+124.5%+$22,529.45
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25,500
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$6,479Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,479
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11,712Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,712.21
All 7 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$9,333Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,332.94
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$8,832Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$6,662.83
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$7,989Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$7,989.1
All 3 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+101.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 3 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$1,777.78
Map Handicap: NAVI (-2.5) vs GamerLegion (+2.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,870Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$469.24
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,436Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+93.5%+$4,148.77
FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,055Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,055
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,598Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,597.72
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26,949Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$19,514.55
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12,303Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$15,036.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.