TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Austria vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$339,758
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$360,233

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $339,758 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3496…8fc4backed Over53c188,320$99,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99,809.6517034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c71,651$36,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,002.734,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under47c42,747$20,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,661.51,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under47c21,287$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,287.3335549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under47c20,173$9,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,757.263,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under79c19,306$15,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,132.033,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under47c13,811$6,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,308.0912146.3%56 W · 65 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x890e…db10backed Under51c13,175$6,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,481.612835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under50c11,127$5,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,559.2544539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4587…7bc9backed Under38c9,514$3,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,858.713850%19 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over45c8,169$3,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,691.932,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked Over17c5,394$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.2511238.4%43 W · 69 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under47c5,330$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,829.8841451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Under47c5,000$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,65085851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00a1…8366backed Over36c3,580$1,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,288.82922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.32per pick54cpaid-64.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over51c3,553$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80038960.7%236 W · 153 L+24.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7444…5f6bbacked Over53c3,544$1,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,871.7720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Under73c3,139$2,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.8231545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Under61c2,965$1,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,157.4521143.1%91 W · 120 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under49c2,846$1,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,463.051,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under47c2,648$1,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,403.5450850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over25c2,500$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.9924649.2%121 W · 125 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under59c2,475$1,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.944,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under55c2,285$1,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.2939933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over33c2,250$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.9130431.3%95 W · 209 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f5…f3b5backed Under69c2,039$1,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.122050%10 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under47c1,982$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.3586455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over53c1,974$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.5610157.4%58 W · 43 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Under54c1,865$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865.438819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under61c1,703$1,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.942,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa704…11c1backed Over69c1,449$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008672.1%62 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b43…0f61backed Under47c1,400$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.19250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62cd…02babacked Over74c1,352$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.873638.9%14 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9883…1d31backed Over1c1,250$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.51428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-55.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under54c1,163$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.763151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over10c1,118$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.8659453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under49c1,063$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.8333443.4%145 W · 189 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over33c1,045$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34545428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under64c988.2$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.1733740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Over16c988.08$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.8120150.7%102 W · 99 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under68c985.01$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.71,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50021747.9%104 W · 113 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over32c799.76$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.9213351.1%68 W · 65 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over22c759.24$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.124,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Under50c752.66$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.331968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x63f5…09ddbacked Over20c744.9$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.485719.3%11 W · 46 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Under47c742.6$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.5838948.8%190 W · 199 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under60c697.16$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.8525942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under63c680.43$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.7619744.2%87 W · 110 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fcf…e455backed Over11c676.98$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4714544.8%65 W · 80 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+57.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under25c670.29$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.711,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over75c533.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40014568.3%99 W · 46 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick66cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Over38c507$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.1215646.2%72 W · 84 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x99e2…ffd9backed Over42c435.86$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.061631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67a5…3516backed Under47c425.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.6422441.5%93 W · 131 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Under47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.5335150.7%178 W · 173 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over31c417.61$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.4611027.3%30 W · 80 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Over24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010832.4%35 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under47c409.13$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.845554.5%30 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1968032.5%26 W · 54 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaaa4…8968backed Over52c393.33$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.455062%31 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over37c387.4$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.712,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under47c377.7$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.3332055.9%179 W · 141 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over48c364.9$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.1825455.9%142 W · 112 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b35…b8f8backed Over30c363.94$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.18616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-78.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over52c307.69$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1608955.1%49 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6134…c8ccbacked Over75c307.01$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.2627254.4%148 W · 124 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee43…ae9dbacked Over75c300$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2254372.1%31 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Under47c291.15$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.3142755.5%237 W · 190 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over55c285.02$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.9515932.7%52 W · 107 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over6c274$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.462,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over37c270$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.933120.8%69 W · 262 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over75c266.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011252.7%59 W · 53 L-10.1wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-16.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over53c263.25$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14055153%292 W · 259 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ed3…fc81backed Over74c251.15$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.851361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over36c249.99$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.450450.2%253 W · 251 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under26c240$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.623732.1%76 W · 161 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over40c237.6$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.441,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under25c218$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.584844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Under24c216.77$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.4923857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under48c213.35$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11142952%223 W · 206 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x815b…a1c7backed Under47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.775827.6%16 W · 42 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Under47c210.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.8765253.8%351 W · 301 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88f2…a6c1backed Over77c203.87$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.9819944.7%89 W · 110 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under35c202.76$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.242,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014146.1%65 W · 76 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under47c192$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1411860.2%71 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bd3…ca6dbacked Over75c176.32$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcffd…a39dbacked Over49c164.34$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801921.1%4 W · 15 L-4.7wins-0.25per pick46cpaid-48.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4691…2a8abacked Over54c159.26$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866141%25 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26ca…da6abacked Under59c153.4$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.46958%40 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Under47c152.2$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.6751514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under47c151.06$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.0619448.5%94 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Over75c149.29$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.9722466.1%148 W · 76 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7097…811cbacked Over50c149.07$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.8411364.6%73 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8b…9cd7backed Under47c148.94$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.9413858.7%81 W · 57 L+10.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Over14c147.37$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1546012.4%57 W · 403 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under47c144.68$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.6823658.1%137 W · 99 L+20.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Under26c142.46$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.4220330.5%62 W · 141 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Over14c137.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9815844.3%70 W · 88 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.