Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Austria (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d01c500b692f7f6cc6ab2416e6722b4b60534b3d8bedd20451690a5e8323c06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tunisiaof Austria, Tunisia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,363
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,168
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,363 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tunisia | 64c | 6,481$4,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,306.29 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Austria | 34c | 5,150$1,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.05 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tunisia | 61c | 2,266$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.27 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Austria | 42c | 2,258$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.21 | 304 | 31.3%95 W · 209 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…ad24backed Austria | 40c | 1,989$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04da…86b1backed Austria | 28c | 1,277$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Austria | 33c | 1,005$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.21 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Tunisia | 72c | 993.06$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.06 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Austria | 17c | 987.5$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.85 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Austria | 11c | 923.4$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.57 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Tunisia | 61c | 726.71$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.84 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…45cebacked Austria | 41c | 704.28$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.76 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Austria | 42c | 639.95$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.78 | 140 | 61.4%86 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Tunisia | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Tunisia | 58c | 599.6$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.83 | 374 | 51.6%193 W · 181 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Tunisia | 60c | 562$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.8 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Tunisia | 61c | 471.89$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.04 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…3c2dbacked Tunisia | 71c | 468$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.1 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Austria | 23c | 394$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.62 | 444 | 35.4%157 W · 287 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1378…dbd2backed Tunisia | 61c | 376.75$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.93 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Tunisia | 60c | 314.36$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.76 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Tunisia | 60c | 314.36$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.76 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Austria | 36c | 298.63$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.25 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Tunisia | 66c | 287.41$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.46 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Austria | 39c | 266.34$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.87 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Tunisia | 65c | 257.1$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.87 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e87…e93dbacked Austria | 39c | 250$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tunisia | 60c | 209.72$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.89 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Tunisia | 61c | 200.56$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.97 | 815 | 54.8%447 W · 368 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Austria | 13c | 150$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 331 | 20.8%69 W · 262 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Tunisia | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed Austria | 38c | 146.8$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.79 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…8f84backed Tunisia | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Tunisia | 59c | 134.8$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.82 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Tunisia | 59c | 129.53$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.68 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Tunisia | 60c | 124$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6513…5ba3backed Austria | 16c | 120.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked Austria | 39c | 102.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Austria | 21c | 88.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Austria | 24c | 87.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Tunisia | 62c | 85$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57af…81cebacked Austria | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Austria | 38c | 75.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 249 | 35.3%88 W · 161 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5511…1c23backed Austria | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Tunisia | 65c | 68.79$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.82 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Austria | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 172 | 27.3%47 W · 125 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26ca…da6abacked Tunisia | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Tunisia | 65c | 53.88$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tunisia | 61c | 49.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Tunisia | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f50…e621backed Austria | 29c | 41.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Austria | 41c | 39.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Tunisia | 60c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 397 | 46.3%184 W · 213 L | -28.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Tunisia | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 370 | 57.3%212 W · 158 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x743c…03debacked Tunisia | 62c | 32.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Tunisia | 64c | 31.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 187 | 64.2%120 W · 67 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Tunisia | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Tunisia | 60c | 28.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Tunisia | 61c | 25.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd764…ae83backed Tunisia | 59c | 21.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…dcabbacked Tunisia | 70c | 19.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0e…accebacked Tunisia | 75c | 18.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…24aebacked Tunisia | 61c | 18.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…0f4cbacked Tunisia | 60c | 16.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Tunisia | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.66 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Austria (-1.5)this page
- Austria vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Austria vs. Tunisia: O/U 0.5Over won
- Austria vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5Under won
- Austria vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5Under won
- Austria vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Austria vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Austria vs. Tunisia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Austria (-2.5)Tunisia won
- Spread: Tunisia (-1.5)Austria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.