Fifa International · resolved market
Austria vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c677dfba3af2adf4e1dccd0feed32073c7b8f8dccd648f228bf8e04fb40a488
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,682
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,815
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,682 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 28c | 3,867$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.27 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 74c | 2,705$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.97 | 202 | 62.4%126 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 27c | 2,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over | 20c | 2,380$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.97 | 146 | 12.3%18 W · 128 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 77c | 1,755$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.73 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 13c | 1,080$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.79 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 73c | 616.44$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.44 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 331 | 20.8%69 W · 262 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 28c | 345.18$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.65 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 8c | 315.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 157 | 22.3%35 W · 122 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 4c | 298.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 197 | 46.2%91 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 73c | 150.62$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 28c | 133.25$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 203 | 30.5%62 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed Under | 73c | 95.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 187 | 69.5%130 W · 57 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 24.4%19 W · 59 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 71c | 71$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 74c | 59.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Over | 27c | 57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 79c | 56.74$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Under | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 27c | 51.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 136 | 43.4%59 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 73c | 49.51$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 27c | 48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Over | 27c | 37.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 78c | 37.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa372…65bbbacked Under | 74c | 18.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 71cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 72c | 18.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 436 | 53.7%234 W · 202 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Austria vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5this page
- Austria vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Austria vs. Tunisia: O/U 0.5Over won
- Austria vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5Under won
- Austria vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5Under won
- Austria vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Austria vs. Tunisia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Austria (-1.5)Tunisia won
- Spread: Austria (-2.5)Tunisia won
- Spread: Tunisia (-1.5)Austria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.