TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Austria vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,611
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,926

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,611 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7444…5f6bbacked Over45c4,460$2,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,013.8520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under75c4,340$3,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.094,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under51c4,266$2,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,088.5912146.3%56 W · 65 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00042710.3%44 W · 383 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over50c3,965$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00013544.4%60 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over38c3,846$1,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,451.3131545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under58c3,794$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,594.0920262.4%126 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over24c2,604$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.332,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over40c2,515$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,013.973,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under50c2,408$1,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,210.11,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under54c2,316$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.3141451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under55c2,305$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.7835549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over40c2,121$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.2845421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over12c2,083$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25014612.3%18 W · 128 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under50c1,884$942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94268141.1%280 W · 401 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa31a…d023backed Over12c1,649$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.844727.7%13 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21d5…442bbacked Over51c1,337$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68210949.5%54 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Over10c1,148$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11915143%65 W · 86 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under78c1,147$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.624,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under53c1,108$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.62,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d4a…e7cabacked Over51c1,005$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5105141.2%21 W · 30 L-5.3wins-0.10per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under54c999.99$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46014433.3%48 W · 96 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011027.3%30 W · 80 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd881…af24backed Over50c866.99$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.522450.4%113 W · 111 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…52adbacked Over4c812.83$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.994837.5%18 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over12c691.95$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.341,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over34c626.78$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.484,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over13c620$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.633120.8%69 W · 262 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under67c581.81$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.8730054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under49c514.32$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.33,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under53c512.38$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.8219744.2%87 W · 110 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over16c499.96$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9943826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under55c499.75$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.9319946.7%93 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under73c404.76$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.622,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b35…b8f8backed Over42c400$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-78.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under57c394.74$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.7412559.2%74 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11b0…fe15backed Over50c346.15$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.081952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over18c335.06$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.331,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under49c312.22$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.2910539%41 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under49c312$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.1213643.4%59 W · 77 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Over50c305$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.514738.8%57 W · 90 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14715932.7%52 W · 107 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc595…994dbacked Over12c294.09$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6214526.2%38 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4061…dde5backed Over14c257.91$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3515722.3%35 W · 122 L+0.7wins0.00per pick22cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cad…0758backed Over50c240$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12015949.7%79 W · 80 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c88…5463backed Under51c235.29$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.292462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+26.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under62c228.75$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.281,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over22c212.89$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8974034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024649.2%121 W · 125 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67a9…e29ebacked Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007927.8%22 W · 57 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf22b…8f84backed Under54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.197352.1%38 W · 35 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under50c180$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under69c164.03$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.071,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb253…26febacked Under64c156.7$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4113548.1%65 W · 70 L-9.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9209…dc9bbacked Over51c154.86$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.981643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over40c154.35$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.242,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under49c111$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2584844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under50c106.16$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.083,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8d9…1059backed Under50c100.98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4911952.9%63 W · 56 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over25c100.11$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7369744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5016656.6%94 W · 72 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aa7…736ebacked Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4922746.3%105 W · 122 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xced4…5055backed Over11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117724.7%19 W · 58 L+7.7wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+56.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc5a9…0c9abacked Under60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013253%70 W · 62 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Over45c97.5$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3370750.1%354 W · 353 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under75c94.2$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5538745%174 W · 213 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under50c88.84$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4284751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over49c84.33$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.323,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under64c81.68$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3486455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ba…a7c4backed Under75c77.4$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.351764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under69c65.37$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.263151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8006…94dcbacked Over46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309733%32 W · 65 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over37c64.05$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.751,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under49c63.07$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.161,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2342…12d6backed Over50c60.32$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.168644.2%38 W · 48 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3039746.3%184 W · 213 L-28.9wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2897…0004backed Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303650%18 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcea…cad3backed Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c8e…cebfbacked Over37c50.73$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.775923.7%14 W · 45 L-7.7wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-42.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Under50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2513151.1%67 W · 64 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.518444.6%82 W · 102 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over49c49.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2683153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5fb…6b9cbacked Under61c48.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.784362.8%27 W · 16 L+5.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+42.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under54c45.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.932,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under71c44.83$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2037057.3%212 W · 158 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Under51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.222751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Under51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.225543.6%24 W · 31 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1d8…cf06backed Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207448.6%36 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf05b…3c59backed Over49c38.78$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1916547.9%79 W · 86 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over50c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1882340.9%337 W · 486 L-2.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcadd…c7e6backed Under55c34.29$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.514847.9%23 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Under65c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.412252.5%64 W · 58 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26ca…da6abacked Under69c29.08$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.086958%40 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc08c…4b12backed Under52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.857838.5%30 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a6d…b19dbacked Under51c23.53$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under72c23.23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5750833.3%169 W · 339 L-35.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Under61c22.12$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6338439.8%153 W · 231 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.