TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2897…0004

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
99
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst Champions League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT3650%18 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panama vs. Dominican Republic: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$43.33
Panama vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+59.5%+$29.73
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Poland vs. Nigeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+92.4%+$55.43
Luxembourg vs. Italy: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Albania vs. Israel: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Albania vs. Israel: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
DR Congo vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Philippines vs. Guam: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$48.95
Philippines vs. Guam: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+176.7%+$35.35
Haiti vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$38.18
Haiti vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Wales vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Wales vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$28.82
Morocco vs. Madagascar: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+97%+$32.01
Georgia vs. Romania: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+83.3%+$25
Georgia vs. Romania: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Croatia vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Colombia vs. Costa Rica: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Austria vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
Norway vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
Will Norway win on 2026-06-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$31.43
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST1656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+46.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+138.1%+$29
Wolves vs. Manchester United: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+75.4%+$25.65
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+185.7%+$37.14
Brighton vs. West Ham: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+156.4%+$31.28
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Tottenham win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+143.9%+$28.78
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+354.5%+$49.64
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+76.3%+$22.88
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+244.8%+$46.52
Arsenal vs. Brentford: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$19.8
Will Newcastle win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+69.5%+$34.62
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 16 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UD Almería vs. Real Valladolid CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
Will Osasuna win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+69.5%+$34.05
Real Madrid vs. Celta Vigo: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Espanyol vs. Rayo Vallecano: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Valencia vs. Sevilla: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+104.1%+$31.22
Elche CF vs. Girona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+78.6%+$30.64
Will Mallorca win on 2025-12-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+75.4%+$50.85
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-46.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.96
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$108.62
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$76
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+138.1%+$41.43
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$91
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+127.3%+$38.18
All 12 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+72.4%+$43.45
Udinese Calcio vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+122.4%+$36.73
Pisa SC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+163.2%+$40.79
Will SS Lazio win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Cagliari Calcio vs. AS Roma: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$40
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$32.99
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+212.5%+$57.38
All 9 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BK Hacken vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $355 before 2026??backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.