Fifa International · resolved market
Philippines vs. Guam: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a00da7eadf1e39c01cefd4d1ed4d16806e02f00bdbe55cb2bb54e5c8223e040
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,889
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,471
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,889 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 38c | 1,216$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.06 | 304 | 31.3%95 W · 209 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 62c | 937.69$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.94 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 393.77$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.4 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 64c | 390$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 35c | 290$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.5 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 32c | 267.46$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.86 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 36c | 229.07$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.07 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 62c | 215.52$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.27 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Yes | 36c | 180.12$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.28 | 187 | 64.2%120 W · 67 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf1…796ebacked Yes | 34c | 173.29$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.37 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +175.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 64c | 143.8$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.69 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 66c | 111.13$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.17 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…0854backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 62c | 95$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb781…deefbacked Yes | 33c | 76.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.25 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cad…0758backed Yes | 36c | 75.41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.41 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Yes | 35c | 73.36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.36 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8e…cebfbacked Yes | 36c | 68.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -7.7wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb724…577dbacked Yes | 35c | 59.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.93 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe45a…46adbacked No | 66c | 59.51$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 64c | 57.61$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.87 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1d…32fabacked No | 66c | 57.55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf45…ea2cbacked No | 64c | 57.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.69 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e0…3c1ebacked No | 66c | 56.23$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2897…0004backed Yes | 36c | 55.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.35 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 64c | 41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa74e…6215backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 66c | 20.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 709 | 48.9%347 W · 362 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 64c | 17.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x26cd…2c85backed No | 68c | 15.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed No | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 235 | 52.8%124 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philippines vs. Guam: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Philippines vs. Guam: O/U 0.5Over won
- Philippines vs. Guam: O/U 1.5Over won
- Philippines vs. Guam: O/U 2.5Over won
- Philippines vs. Guam: O/U 3.5Over won
- Philippines vs. Guam: O/U 4.5Over won
- Philippines vs. Guam: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Philippines (-1.5)Philippines won
- Spread: Philippines (-2.5)Philippines won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.