Fifa International · resolved market
Philippines vs. Guam: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x245c308252d112343d6bfc7bc07731317752728b1533334a5c65d99986ba3897
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,544
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,523
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,544 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 14c | 4,865$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 161 | 16.1%26 W · 135 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Under | 41c | 1,459$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.56 | 304 | 31.3%95 W · 209 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Over | 54c | 1,072$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.82 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +21.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 45c | 999.96$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.98 | 144 | 33.3%48 W · 96 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Over | 57c | 704.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.04 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Over | 61c | 622.05$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.6 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 48c | 618.51$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.88 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Over | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 72c | 413.27$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.01 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee43…ae9dbacked Over | 62c | 403.31$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.31 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 62c | 380.49$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.78 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 46c | 298.19$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.17 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdf…8116backed Over | 70c | 242.18$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.4 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 42c | 241.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.72 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d3…f1abbacked Under | 42c | 232.12$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.19 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…26febacked Under | 44c | 226.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 135 | 48.1%65 W · 70 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Over | 58c | 200.41$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.17 | 167 | 58.7%98 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 44c | 199$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.56 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef93…9f0dbacked Over | 57c | 177.09$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…6e69backed Under | 43c | 139$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 39c | 116$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 45c | 111.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 203 | 30.5%62 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8443…2988backed Over | 58c | 107.73$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 93 | 31.2%29 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 42c | 95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 44c | 92.58$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 44c | 90$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a6…f2e3backed Under | 43c | 89.37$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe285…5754backed Under | 43c | 87.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 58c | 77.59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Over | 56c | 77.21$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Over | 58c | 68.47$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.01 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…fa81backed Over | 76c | 66.97$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…607ebacked Over | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 56c | 47.63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.87 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a6…0b06backed Over | 57c | 47.2$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 36c | 46.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…2dadbacked Over | 57c | 45.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +112.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0a…7ca8backed Over | 57c | 45.74$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Over | 54c | 43.47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 128 | 53.9%69 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Under | 46c | 43.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…97f1backed Over | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Over | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 124 | 37.1%46 W · 78 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 52c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 379 | 50.1%190 W · 189 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…e5d8backed Over | 57c | 34.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 231 | 42.4%98 W · 133 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…736ebacked Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 60c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 239 | 40.6%97 W · 142 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…16cfbacked Over | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 235 | 52.8%124 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 57c | 22.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed Over | 56c | 21.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 190 | 69.5%132 W · 58 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 60c | 19.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…0c48backed Over | 58c | 17.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 68c | 15.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philippines vs. Guam: O/U 3.5this page
- Philippines vs. Guam: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Philippines vs. Guam: O/U 0.5Over won
- Philippines vs. Guam: O/U 1.5Over won
- Philippines vs. Guam: O/U 2.5Over won
- Philippines vs. Guam: O/U 4.5Over won
- Philippines vs. Guam: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Philippines (-1.5)Philippines won
- Spread: Philippines (-2.5)Philippines won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.