Fifa International · resolved market
Philippines vs. Guam: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb05ee5c4d526891cbf586f880d89f5ce36f883b109ae633e95f693bd4afda149
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,150
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,150 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 54c | 2,251$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.36 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 59c | 2,000$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.35 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 46c | 1,838$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.47 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked Under | 62c | 1,216$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.03 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.64 | 144 | 33.3%48 W · 96 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1f…9136backed Under | 63c | 843.03$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.45 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 39c | 641.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 161 | 16.1%26 W · 135 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Over | 36c | 600$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.52 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 61c | 569.19$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.8 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 64c | 348$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.72 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 53c | 317$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.46 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 62c | 299.3$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.74 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 53c | 298.16$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.69 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 37c | 285$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.33 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cad…0758backed Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Over | 36c | 227.88$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.85 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 65c | 192$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 36c | 190$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.07 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…26febacked Under | 64c | 152.54$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.16 | 135 | 48.1%65 W · 70 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b2…3d80backed Over | 34c | 130.26$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.6 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…e71cbacked Over | 54c | 108.46$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 44c | 96$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.89 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 51c | 89.75$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.02 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2897…0004backed Over | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 38c | 65.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.78 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 37c | 58$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.47 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 44c | 51.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 199 | 46.7%93 W · 106 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…607ebacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x26ca…da6abacked Over | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c4…4c57backed Over | 43c | 46.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Under | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 66c | 38.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 379 | 50.1%190 W · 189 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 53c | 35.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 57c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 51c | 31.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 374 | 58.8%220 W · 154 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 421 | 26.4%111 W · 310 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Under | 66c | 27.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 143 | 42.7%61 W · 82 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…26bcbacked Under | 62c | 27.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 64c | 26.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 64c | 22.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 203 | 30.5%62 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 64c | 21.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 66c | 19.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 397 | 46.3%184 W · 213 L | -28.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over | 65c | 19.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Under | 58c | 18.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Under | 65c | 16.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philippines vs. Guam: O/U 4.5this page
- Philippines vs. Guam: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Philippines vs. Guam: O/U 0.5Over won
- Philippines vs. Guam: O/U 1.5Over won
- Philippines vs. Guam: O/U 2.5Over won
- Philippines vs. Guam: O/U 3.5Over won
- Philippines vs. Guam: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Philippines (-1.5)Philippines won
- Spread: Philippines (-2.5)Philippines won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.