Fifa International · resolved market
Philippines vs. Guam: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7e61b8f6ab442d89186690b023638a6d4e113bc10966c90550da0d479907eda
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,468
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,864
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,468 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 20c | 804.06$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.24 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 80c | 625$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa902…d159backed Under | 66c | 601.66$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 66c | 319.99$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.89 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 29c | 258.55$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.34 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 68c | 210.36$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.98 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 22c | 202.28$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.46 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…33acbacked Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 42c | 184.59$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.54 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 17c | 147.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.05 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4789…994abacked Under | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 22c | 111.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.31 | 203 | 30.5%62 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Over | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.2 | 124 | 37.1%46 W · 78 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ca…da6abacked Under | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under | 50c | 81.22$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 77c | 65.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…e71cbacked Over | 55c | 59.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 46c | 54.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 77c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 78c | 21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 80c | 13.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 681 | 41.1%280 W · 401 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philippines vs. Guam: O/U 5.5this page
- Philippines vs. Guam: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Philippines vs. Guam: O/U 0.5Over won
- Philippines vs. Guam: O/U 1.5Over won
- Philippines vs. Guam: O/U 2.5Over won
- Philippines vs. Guam: O/U 3.5Over won
- Philippines vs. Guam: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Philippines (-1.5)Philippines won
- Spread: Philippines (-2.5)Philippines won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.