Fifa International · resolved market
Philippines vs. Guam: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02952d7fa127939141b1bef7aed83dcd2ebb1d6ff80883a156b671138740afba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,732
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 5c | 17,331$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.28 | 161 | 16.1%26 W · 135 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 22c | 999.98$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Under | 18c | 788.72$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.43 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed3…fc81backed Over | 78c | 725.1$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.02 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…607ebacked Over | 79c | 541.52$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.52 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Under | 20c | 455$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.82 | 444 | 35.4%157 W · 287 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 5c | 358.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Over | 78c | 339$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.92 | 585 | 30.9%181 W · 404 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 20c | 126.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Under | 21c | 123.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 172 | 18.6%32 W · 140 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa31a…d023backed Under | 24c | 106.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e15…bdb2backed Under | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 24c | 91.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 237 | 32.1%76 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d30…52d9backed Under | 13c | 86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 77c | 83.53$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a2…8cb0backed Over | 79c | 79.75$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 24c | 70.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 203 | 30.5%62 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Over | 76c | 69.44$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Under | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 356 | 19.4%69 W · 287 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x593f…61c6backed Over | 78c | 68.04$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0afb…74fabacked Over | 78c | 64.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 77c | 63.64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb30…a49bbacked Over | 79c | 63.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Over | 79c | 60.67$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 76c | 52.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 23c | 49.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf97a…6780backed Over | 78c | 48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Over | 78c | 30.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 79c | 29.06$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 465 | 62.2%289 W · 176 L | +42.0wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 78c | 22.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 681 | 41.1%280 W · 401 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 77c | 18.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philippines vs. Guam: O/U 2.5this page
- Philippines vs. Guam: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Philippines vs. Guam: O/U 0.5Over won
- Philippines vs. Guam: O/U 1.5Over won
- Philippines vs. Guam: O/U 3.5Over won
- Philippines vs. Guam: O/U 4.5Over won
- Philippines vs. Guam: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Philippines (-1.5)Philippines won
- Spread: Philippines (-2.5)Philippines won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.