La Liga · resolved market
Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-12-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d371c0f9637a4d53997b1731214ac2118b53e1ba84c583a5e238f2cf6b1924e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $366,701
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $367,742
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $366,701 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 257 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Yes | 47c | 112,722$52,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,765.99 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 48c | 50,000$24,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,000 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 37c | 44,623$16,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,903.43 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 53c | 41,664$22,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,582.23 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 52c | 32,977$17,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,828.91 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf38…2ccdbacked Yes | 47c | 25,464$11,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,967.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3c…e863backed Yes | 1c | 19,655$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.55 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 53c | 19,139$10,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,995.15 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked No | 54c | 15,381$8,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,075.18 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaf…f736backed Yes | 1c | 12,276$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4a…4ef5backed No | 53c | 10,650$5,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,005.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 53c | 9,000$4,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,230 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 47c | 7,170$3,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,780.23 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 53c | 6,329$3,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,974.79 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed No | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 54c | 4,802$2,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,185.45 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked No | 53c | 4,150$2,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,968.93 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 27c | 4,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Yes | 45c | 3,856$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716.06 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 53c | 3,291$1,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552.62 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 44c | 3,203$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.32 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 52c | 3,131$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.23 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 56c | 2,486$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.71 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 43c | 2,210$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.18 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked Yes | 72c | 2,135$1,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.34 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 67cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 53c | 1,952$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.71 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d9…e01fbacked Yes | 46c | 1,889$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 55c | 1,705$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.28 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 47c | 1,459$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.16 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed Yes | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -8.1wins | -0.16per pick | 68cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 54c | 1,278$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.78 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3b…be48backed No | 54c | 1,269$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 42c | 1,185$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.85 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0de0…0884backed Yes | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 53c | 1,161$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.87 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3a…2e05backed Yes | 47c | 1,127$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed No | 27c | 1,099$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.01 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…97e1backed Yes | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Yes | 49c | 1,017$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.18 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed No | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked No | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked No | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked No | 53c | 999.96$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.98 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 53c | 999.94$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.97 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 40c | 974.33$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.98 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x537e…63ccbacked No | 36c | 817.3$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +67%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 54c | 801.88$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.69 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed No | 54c | 800$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 48c | 779.96$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.55 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb39e…d78abacked Yes | 46c | 713.04$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 54c | 700$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 223 | 35%78 W · 145 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 55c | 647.49$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.87 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0db7…5c06backed Yes | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 25c | 595.49$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 76c | 589$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.64 | 140 | 67.1%94 W · 46 L | +17.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 27c | 574.49$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.49 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Yes | 44c | 562.53$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked No | 54c | 555.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.67 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked No | 53c | 555$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 52c | 535$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.31 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1166…a8e1backed Yes | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 41c | 520.67$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 47c | 512.87$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.56 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed No | 48c | 490.53$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.66 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed Yes | 47c | 488.4$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.55 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fa…af3abacked Yes | 47c | 472.13$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.9 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33e0…7d46backed No | 55c | 468.09$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed No | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03bc…530cbacked Yes | 48c | 450$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216a…9380backed Yes | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Yes | 47c | 425.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 34cpaid | -83%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Yes | 43c | 424.64$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…491dbacked Yes | 47c | 417.15$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.06 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 42c | 414.19$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.96 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes | 49c | 410.2$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 43c | 406.98$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 48c | 396.82$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.84 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x748f…59d0backed No | 54c | 370.48$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Yes | 47c | 370$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.9 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74fb…96cfbacked Yes | 48c | 360.42$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Yes | 33c | 350$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b5…7ba6backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 56c | 339.86$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.05 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 46c | 339.25$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.2 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b3…67cdbacked No | 36c | 333.33$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…454bbacked Yes | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 47c | 312$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.64 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45c6…aa4dbacked Yes | 76c | 310.7$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 53c | 302$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.94 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9912…4f03backed No | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +156.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed No | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…6dddbacked Yes | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dea…1f52backed Yes | 47c | 291.02$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a8…2a71backed Yes | 43c | 279.07$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…13bfbacked No | 30c | 273.33$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9710…80a3backed Yes | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2885…486cbacked No | 54c | 262.04$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.54 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No | 55c | 258.18$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.18 | 150 | 62%93 W · 57 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 75c | 250$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5b…cc75backed No | 54c | 246.3$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.3 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-12-01?this page
- Will Rayo Vallecano vs. Valencia end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Valencia win on 2025-12-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.