TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Valencia win on 2025-12-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,520
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,947

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,520 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3f3c…e863backed Yes1c11,684$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.841861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes13c10,354$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,315.574,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No78c7,008$5,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,537.4335442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf209…97e1backed Yes25c3,992$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.052931%9 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes24c3,651$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.1130634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa225…b903backed Yes27c3,636$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-37.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed No75c3,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7503964.1%25 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked No76c3,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.984266.7%28 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed Yes7c2,986$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2092611.5%3 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-55.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes27c1,667$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.614067.1%94 W · 46 L+17.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+38.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes25c1,400$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3507024.3%17 W · 53 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick23cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes12c1,294$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.9953246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Yes13c1,246$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.9825248.4%122 W · 130 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb9b5…7ba6backed Yes17c1,169$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003450%17 W · 17 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+30.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Yes25c1,100$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2756728.4%19 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes6c1,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604450%22 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+6.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6520…315cbacked Yes25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501520%3 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x34d8…7cbabacked No76c1,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2403100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No72c816.65$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.0669142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0db7…5c06backed Yes25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011137.8%42 W · 69 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes22c767.86$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1707632.9%25 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3b…6598backed Yes5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-41.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Yes24c596.14$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.075040%20 W · 30 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+59.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes5c521.31$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.783,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6da1…d6bcbacked Yes24c500$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick19cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Yes13c461.54$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1538…8c7ebacked Yes24c459.46$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.27333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…c206backed Yes11c420$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf438…de5dbacked Yes24c419.25$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.622321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c7b…feddbacked Yes24c417.13$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01db…16e3backed Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+32.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2544…f319backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-44.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1649…7d8abacked Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97d6…0ca3backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x19bc…7d78backed No78c386$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.47851.3%40 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb392…28a5backed Yes10c385.12$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3980%0 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21e6…cbd8backed Yes25c340.11$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.033148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes13c321.35$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6555941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Yes25c320$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801450%7 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x897d…90c9backed Yes12c311.04$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.542846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb134…af68backed Yes24c300$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid+261.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ec…a7b9backed Yes6c300$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1830%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aea…ec91backed Yes24c300$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724553.3%24 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9d9…e01fbacked Yes23c264.41$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.81540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+37.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes17c250.62$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5129038.6%112 W · 178 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes6c250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512917.8%23 W · 106 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-33.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fb7…4a50backed Yes14c241.95$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes5c232$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.715036.7%55 W · 95 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-43.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked No77c229.87$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8714759.2%87 W · 60 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8643…0f54backed Yes24c228.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.962828.6%8 W · 20 L-6.9wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-52.5%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes17c220.01$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.45119.6%10 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-38.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3238…1521backed Yes25c200$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ec2…e905backed Yes24c199.94$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+152.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1b8…ed14backed Yes25c190$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Yes24c183.33$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4422553.8%121 W · 104 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No77c176.96$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8929946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0613…5204backed Yes13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205825.9%15 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed Yes24c150$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365038%19 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05dd…e2afbacked No77c149.34$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.849100%9 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+49.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9776…fc56backed Yes15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203636.1%13 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47fb…74d6backed Yes8c131.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66db…7afbbacked Yes13c122.19$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes14c118$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0140033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes14c110.61$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7412251.6%63 W · 59 L+10.8wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+21.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Yes25c110$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2717036.5%62 W · 108 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cc4…bd5dbacked Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201020%2 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-68.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes24c104.22$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515646.2%72 W · 84 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259338.7%36 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa262…c8babacked Yes13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138643%37 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddca…239abacked Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2424052.9%127 W · 113 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b16…7af0backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd88e…ef1bbacked No77c99.87$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.821471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes25c96.56$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1416036.3%58 W · 102 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes23c90.86$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.916926%44 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes23c87$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0148934.4%168 W · 321 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbe2…b34bbacked Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207844.9%35 W · 43 L-6.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d20…2391backed Yes24c80.79$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.392540%10 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4472…dd8abacked Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202254.5%12 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.22per pick32cpaid+44.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes25c72.8$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183330.3%10 W · 23 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed No76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.794454.5%24 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcad…0a68backed No76c63.28$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.913253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154353.5%23 W · 20 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+28.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x52bd…1a8abacked No77c53$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.19922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.2wins-0.35per pick58cpaid-69.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes25c52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136446.9%30 W · 34 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+20.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe096…9779backed Yes24c45.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50aa…70ddbacked Yes24c45.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No78c44.7$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.712757.5%73 W · 54 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08d2…f94dbacked Yes24c42.67$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7496…1d60backed Yes25c40.76$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.19560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61e2…d2f3backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick36cpaid+53.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec17…a270backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c5c…3740backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1012156.2%68 W · 53 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x490e…6ea7backed No79c31.16$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.68955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c06…dd56backed No76c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.23348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4085…583fbacked No77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.971338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-28.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a4d…f78cbacked No76c22.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.825551.4%131 W · 124 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.