TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6c5c…3740

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
51
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: UFC, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 54 out of 100; worst Champions League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1553.3%8 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Torino FC vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$11.32
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+127.3%+$19.22
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+150%+$15.89
SS Lazio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+51.5%+$7.21
Will Como 1907 vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$13.33
Como 1907 vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15.07
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+56.3%+$7.92
Will Lazio win on 2025-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+66.7%+$10.67
Will Napoli win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Atalanta win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Will Inter win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$15.58
Will Juventus win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+47.4%+$51.18
AS Roma vs. Parma: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.5
Atalanta vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+62.7%+$18.17
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will France vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.17
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$5.99
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.32
Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$14.4
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Will Austria win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$15.34
Will Ukraine win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+85.2%+$17.27
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+102.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$5.27
Volkov vs. Almeidabacked Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$25.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+117.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+139%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+378%+$47.1
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$10.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10
VfB Stuttgart vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$18.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$18.12
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$10.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+75.3%+$11.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Meta reach $680 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$24.86
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.