TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-10-29?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,533
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,883

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,533 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed No42c16,124$6,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,842.548447.6%40 W · 44 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed No42c5,617$2,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,378.028242.7%35 W · 47 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes58c4,782$2,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,027.236842.6%29 W · 39 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No44c4,056$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,800.481,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b30…30cfbacked Yes51c3,930$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,930.031250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dc2…b145backed Yes56c3,571$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,571.432100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes57c3,445$1,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,498.321,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes58c3,203$1,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,345.263828.9%11 W · 27 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No44c2,565$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.8221560%129 W · 86 L+15.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5675…f99cbacked Yes56c2,233$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.14757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3402…9446backed Yes57c2,000$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.43475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd14a…e912backed No44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8801258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+41.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No48c1,795$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.6911355.8%63 W · 50 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d06…d48ebacked Yes57c1,754$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.39728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-30.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes58c1,393$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.119055.8%106 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No44c1,323$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.5413050.8%66 W · 64 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes57c1,146$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.614645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes55c999.99$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4501154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No41c999.99$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.998444%37 W · 47 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No43c830.2$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.9914452.1%75 W · 69 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes56c765.82$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.9623153.2%123 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes57c729.05$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.492254.5%12 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No45c722$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.910752.3%56 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e41…3745backed Yes59c714.12$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.79728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-52%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes78c671$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.5816242%68 W · 94 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0181…7a68backed Yes58c655.17$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x891d…dd26backed No45c633.33$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2851353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Yes55c545.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.45850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No46c540$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.4533938.1%129 W · 210 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No43c535$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.0512050.8%61 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ad…6ed7backed No43c500$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.51457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+68.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x08be…5b1fbacked Yes56c474.38$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc151…2501backed Yes59c372.88$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.88560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+76.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x364c…7dc8backed Yes56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f91…9388backed Yes56c356.47$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.471747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-28.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4406…c664backed Yes57c350.1$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.11346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No42c300$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1267146.5%33 W · 38 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes59c280.53$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.029920.2%20 W · 79 L-10.4wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-28.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x671a…0a6dbacked Yes56c265.76$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.881560%9 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed No43c234.94$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.065736.8%21 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes57c214.14$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.081040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7272…7135backed Yes50c213.86$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.931258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+38.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926320.6%13 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-43.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f79…7ed4backed No45c200$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893040%12 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+77.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Yes56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882737%10 W · 17 L-4.3wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-34.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.312944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes59c182.85$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.979641.7%40 W · 56 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked Yes56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.571464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Yes56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.57650%3 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+72.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc794…d09cbacked Yes56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.571457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3623…b50dbacked Yes56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.571346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf133…928dbacked Yes57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.441050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+63.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7180…bdbabacked Yes57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes57c175.34$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.347556%42 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc1…716bbacked Yes57c175$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.251625%4 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x63aa…c5c8backed Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.413132.3%10 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.492245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No40c166.5$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.136743.3%29 W · 38 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes79c166.33$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.526040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67f4…f91bbacked Yes57c166$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.38742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes57c165.33$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.6126845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x110d…cd01backed Yes56c158.93$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed Yes58c155$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.351258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4417…8d57backed Yes57c141.51$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.851154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a93…32a0backed Yes48c140$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.81947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes56c133.93$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.933354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No43c125.35$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.923260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x45fe…da9cbacked Yes59c120.93$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.58650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x844b…2580backed Yes53c112.95$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.95966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9493…7988backed Yes49c110$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.13743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes56c107.14$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.146142.6%26 W · 35 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9817…28bcbacked Yes49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.041850%9 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4b7…f9e3backed No23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick37cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455162.7%32 W · 19 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+27.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed No43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-33.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa615…1bd5backed Yes52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.15633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes57c90$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.74630.4%14 W · 32 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes56c89.73$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.733740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.294247.6%20 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x897d…686ebacked Yes56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.29333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0df8…d7c1backed Yes57c81.19$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa041…04d2backed Yes56c80$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+39.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Yes55c80$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362055%11 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf16e…dc06backed Yes57c79.02$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.98250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661c…3b7bbacked Yes52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.92825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-46.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2173…d713backed Yes59c72.61$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.77837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f2b…a38dbacked Yes56c70.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x695a…d3d6backed Yes57c70.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.181338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76a2…1f3cbacked Yes49c69.8$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No20c68.28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9435157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No42c67.33$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2820860.6%126 W · 82 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8594…7eedbacked Yes57c61.4$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.43562.9%22 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c3d…25acbacked Yes56c60.71$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.71366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x964b…9317backed Yes58c60.34$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Yes59c59.32$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.323053.3%16 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x932e…6f5abacked Yes56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.57771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Yes56c53.26$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.265446.3%25 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1761…502abacked Yes57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.632100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf47e…5031backed Yes58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.72850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.