Serie A · resolved market
AS Roma vs. Parma: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea15515ab169bce8cecc0f4f4ae5c3e7de1de9010c1dabfa85d1ee3f9123b1f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,043
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,007
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,043 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Under | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 53c | 256.71$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.06 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 47c | 217.04$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.44 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Over | 37c | 217.04$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.74 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Under | 56c | 214.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Over | 40c | 204.18$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.28 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x883f…aad2backed Under | 58c | 173.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 44c | 163.27$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.43 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Over | 44c | 154.29$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Over | 44c | 150$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 46c | 98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Under | 66c | 76.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Under | 57c | 65.41$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.54 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Over | 34c | 64.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78e3…9c9bbacked Over | 46c | 60.87$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.17 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 46c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 272 | 26.8%73 W · 199 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb3…6344backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +55%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf67b…4a7abacked Over | 47c | 42.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa041…04d2backed Under | 69c | 41.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.22per pick | 43cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9a…2357backed Over | 46c | 41.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +100%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Under | 57c | 41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…2f76backed Under | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Under | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52bf…baecbacked Over | 45c | 37.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee0d…ebccbacked Over | 46c | 35.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…0f52backed Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefe6…e9b8backed Over | 45c | 34.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…450abacked Over | 46c | 28.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Over | 47c | 28.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ea…2eddbacked Under | 56c | 25.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c36…c074backed Over | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…3740backed Under | 68c | 19.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AS Roma vs. Parma: O/U 2.5this page
- AS Roma vs. Parma: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)Parma won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.