Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c310c0dd164e77c068f2a5ea99b48b2cf7570aea31965ce0bad2029efea1457
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $832,430
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $987,566
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $832,430 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 622 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xca5a…7e43backed Yes | 70c | 86,053$59,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,155.66 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 16c | 86,018$14,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,009.62 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 1c | 83,066$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.57 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 66c | 50,784$33,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,467.05 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 32c | 28,677$9,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,107.17 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 67c | 25,000$16,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,250 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c8…fed1backed No | 34c | 25,000$8,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,499.89 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes | 70c | 22,831$15,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,849.33 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 33c | 20,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,599.92 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked Yes | 76c | 20,000$15,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800.01 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 31c | 18,783$5,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,887.45 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 30c | 15,773$4,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,668.11 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 31c | 14,925$4,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,676.15 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 33c | 13,275$4,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,406.93 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f48…6a49backed Yes | 69c | 13,164$9,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,059.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 33c | 11,504$3,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,796.19 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 32c | 11,038$3,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,532.22 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes | 67c | 10,659$7,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,542.09 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 31c | 10,572$3,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,271.55 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 23c | 9,764$2,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222.81 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 21c | 9,453$1,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,968.14 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeadc…e41dbacked Yes | 68c | 8,081$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,581.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 34c | 7,745$2,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,633.24 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 67c | 6,625$4,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,192.6 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Yes | 70c | 6,597$4,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.15 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Yes | 70c | 6,476$4,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,942.71 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Yes | 74c | 6,336$4,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.83 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 33c | 6,200$2,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,021.99 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 68c | 5,863$4,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,851.57 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 34c | 5,765$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,941.36 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed No | 26c | 5,500$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.99 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed No | 8c | 5,138$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.21 | 91 | 11%10 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 11c | 5,119$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.51 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Yes | 75c | 4,532$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.84 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976c…907cbacked Yes | 71c | 4,453$3,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 32c | 4,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…d535backed Yes | 66c | 3,780$2,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.3 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 66c | 3,200$2,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 36c | 3,091$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.92 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 27c | 2,479$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.84 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 32c | 2,449$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.79 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf8…9d6ebacked Yes | 67c | 2,393$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf532…70eabacked Yes | 69c | 2,344$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x260a…dbf6backed Yes | 65c | 2,328$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4679…6578backed Yes | 65c | 2,300$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 34c | 2,275$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.83 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +28%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed No | 34c | 2,055$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.86 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 34c | 2,050$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 35c | 1,955$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.1 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 73c | 1,941$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.8 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xfef0…7708backed Yes | 69c | 1,884$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.06 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30d6…8c9dbacked Yes | 68c | 1,853$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.96 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked No | 34c | 1,798$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.3 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48d…5182backed Yes | 69c | 1,733$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.33 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8156…27c2backed Yes | 69c | 1,700$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked No | 33c | 1,605$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.65 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40fb…0abfbacked Yes | 66c | 1,521$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x942c…fb3abacked Yes | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…a718backed Yes | 68c | 1,472$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.41 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4e…e29dbacked Yes | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed No | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…a42abacked Yes | 69c | 1,377$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.81 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 21c | 1,322$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.42 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b0…5cc1backed No | 37c | 1,300$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes | 67c | 1,194$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.03 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 33c | 1,192$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.64 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x39b3…53b9backed Yes | 67c | 1,119$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.4 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 17c | 1,115$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.8 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2752…8ce3backed Yes | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed No | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81cc…26b9backed No | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed No | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 14c | 999.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 60 | 15%9 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 35c | 999.97$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed No | 16c | 991$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.56 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 67c | 973.73$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.4 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05bb…8ef9backed No | 35c | 960.92$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked No | 32c | 911.39$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.23 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Yes | 66c | 909.09$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.09 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ba…f30dbacked Yes | 69c | 898.65$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.56 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7623…a48abacked Yes | 65c | 891.77$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.12 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a75…e8ffbacked Yes | 68c | 884.46$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa13…f778backed Yes | 65c | 830$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.41 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6b…33d4backed No | 35c | 798$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.3 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 33c | 788$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.04 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc109…cc36backed Yes | 68c | 783.78$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…6445backed Yes | 66c | 757.7$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.62 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…bee0backed Yes | 66c | 757.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.33 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38c0…659ebacked Yes | 67c | 736$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe060…fda8backed No | 33c | 706.64$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.19 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 33c | 699.97$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.99 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fef…5840backed Yes | 69c | 676.63$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.76 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 64c | 669.57$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.04 | 189 | 58.7%111 W · 78 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-02?this page
- Will Bournemouth win on 2025-11-02?No won
- Will Manchester City vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.