TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2c6b…33d4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
76
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Middle East at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$13.14
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on June 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.5
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on June 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$10
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on June 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.57
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C or below on June 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7.85
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$11.62
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on June 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on June 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.02
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$26
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.25
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on June 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$32
All 20 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$133
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+122.2%+$192.5
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$98.8
Will Tottenham win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$71.98
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$269.6
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$479Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+63.9%+$306.54
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$279.3
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$397.6
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Liverpool vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$14
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$605Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$604.53
Pacers vs. Netsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$272
Pelicans vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$48
Grizzlies vs. Netsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$397.35
76ers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+44.9%+$124
Pelicans vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+49.3%+$148.5
Trail Blazers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+47.1%+$96
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$329
Rockets vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$538Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$537.5
Spurs vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$444Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$444
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+32.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jackets vs. Red Wingsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$204
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
Rangers vs. Devilsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$479.9
Sabres vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+81.8%+$216
Islanders vs. Utahbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+177.8%+$119.82
All 5 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cowboys vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$204.98
Falcons vs. Buccaneersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+212.5%+$186.32
Bengals vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.1
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$191.58
Astros vs. Rangersbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Athletics vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.8
All 3 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Old Dominion vs. South Floridabacked South Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$252
Ohio State vs. Michiganbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$41.78
Missouri State vs. Middle Tennesseebacked Middle Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
All 3 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+108.3%+$286
Will Pafos FC vs. Bayern Munich end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$117
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-37.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.65
Will Mallorca win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$190
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+185.7%+$182
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+101.6%+$90.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Sep 4, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 385–399 times August 29–September 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 19, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-09-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.