NHL · resolved market
Stars vs. Wild
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc495e735642f2f1381c60ac15d9146d75835a8e99edac82eaf7f34324a4fbafd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wildof Stars, Wild
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,310,723
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,310,723 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,291 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf195…8057backed Stars | 55c | 156,960$86,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86,328.11 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Stars | 56c | 123,968$69,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,422.14 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Wild | 45c | 91,591$41,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,361.05 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Stars | 55c | 80,000$44,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,000 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Wild | 45c | 73,518$33,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,434.98 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Wild | 44c | 50,103$22,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,057.9 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84af…9e87backed Stars | 0c | 49,960$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Wild | 44c | 44,008$19,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,644.54 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Wild | 45c | 40,000$18,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,000 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Wild | 44c | 39,836$17,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,308.15 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebbb…4214backed Stars | 53c | 20,617$10,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,999.03 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Wild | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,000 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wild | 44c | 16,841$7,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,427.47 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Stars | 56c | 15,000$8,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,350 | 128 | 38.3%49 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Stars | 54c | 15,000$8,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,099.97 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wild | 44c | 14,638$6,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,136.75 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Wild | 44c | 13,714$6,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,613.46 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Wild | 45c | 12,383$5,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,787.92 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…9a9bbacked Wild | 45c | 10,775$4,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,954.06 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Stars | 56c | 10,678$5,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,979.45 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Wild | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Wild | 45c | 8,500$3,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,689.99 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Stars | 53c | 8,340$4,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,397.46 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Stars | 55c | 7,134$3,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,923.68 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Wild | 45c | 7,009$3,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,865 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Wild | 45c | 6,245$2,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,441.09 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Stars | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.87 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Wild | 46c | 5,435$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,934.78 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Wild | 46c | 5,435$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,934.78 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Wild | 46c | 5,435$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,934.78 | 197 | 59.4%117 W · 80 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Wild | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Wild | 46c | 4,865$2,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,608.27 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Wild | 46c | 4,701$2,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,538.66 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Wild | 45c | 4,567$2,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,511.85 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Stars | 57c | 4,287$2,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,426.24 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Wild | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,239.92 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Wild | 45c | 3,974$1,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,190.36 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Stars | 54c | 3,956$2,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,136.49 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Stars | 53c | 3,906$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070.29 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d8…e9a1backed Stars | 56c | 3,573$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Stars | 63c | 3,559$2,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,232.45 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Wild | 45c | 3,333$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.33 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Wild | 45c | 3,300$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,815 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Wild | 45c | 3,197$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,753.46 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1632…cb68backed Wild | 47c | 3,152$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,670.58 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Wild | 46c | 3,047$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645.4 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Stars | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Stars | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Stars | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.97 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Stars | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.97 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Stars | 54c | 2,954$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.25 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Wild | 45c | 2,799$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.63 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x039c…b202backed Wild | 45c | 2,700$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Stars | 56c | 2,627$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.07 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Wild | 45c | 2,612$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,436.44 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Stars | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Wild | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…ead2backed Stars | 74c | 2,398$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Wild | 42c | 2,225$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.4 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…cb97backed Wild | 47c | 2,112$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.36 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Wild | 39c | 2,040$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.3 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde86…eb01backed Stars | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…5e3ebacked Stars | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9729…99a8backed Wild | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Wild | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc933…a147backed Wild | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Wild | 37c | 2,000$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.99 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Stars | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.93 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7156…891abacked Stars | 54c | 1,995$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7adb…17abbacked Stars | 54c | 1,995$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.3 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…2464backed Stars | 54c | 1,995$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.3 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.36per pick | 47cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3407…953abacked Wild | 46c | 1,995$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.3 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe173…d710backed Stars | 54c | 1,995$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5703…b75fbacked Wild | 46c | 1,995$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.3 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc763…3d57backed Wild | 46c | 1,995$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.3 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…bef3backed Stars | 54c | 1,995$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26bc…1f33backed Wild | 46c | 1,995$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.3 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebbe…9e28backed Wild | 46c | 1,995$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd3…41f8backed Wild | 50c | 1,990$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.4 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ec…18c6backed Stars | 54c | 1,990$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb343…5a75backed Wild | 46c | 1,990$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd259…65babacked Stars | 54c | 1,990$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3799…61dbbacked Wild | 46c | 1,990$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…f6dabacked Stars | 54c | 1,985$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.9 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa189…8d1dbacked Wild | 46c | 1,985$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadad…7587backed Wild | 46c | 1,985$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.9 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06c8…b407backed Wild | 46c | 1,985$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.9 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08d2…0e13backed Stars | 54c | 1,985$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.9 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7d…2836backed Stars | 54c | 1,985$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.9 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Wild | 58c | 1,985$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.28 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb056…604ebacked Stars | 54c | 1,980$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3117…cb1ebacked Stars | 54c | 1,980$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9441…4cf7backed Wild | 46c | 1,980$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7c…a295backed Stars | 54c | 1,980$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7897…d3d0backed Wild | 46c | 1,980$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f1…659ebacked Wild | 46c | 1,980$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c4…c5f2backed Stars | 54c | 1,980$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d14…6557backed Stars | 54c | 1,980$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc52d…611fbacked Wild | 46c | 1,980$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6308…149fbacked Wild | 46c | 1,980$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stars vs. Wildthis page
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Wild won
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)Stars won
- Stars vs. Wild: O/U 4.5Under won
- Stars vs. Wild: O/U 5.5Under won
- Stars vs. Wild: O/U 6.5Under won
- Stars vs. Wild: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.