NHL · resolved market
Stars vs. Wild: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ea3189138404de5e306fd110e9a42d17d814f1e38c08ab2fd679397507a8f79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,391
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,391 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 5,887$2,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,032.1 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 52c | 5,057$2,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,636.22 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 47c | 4,890$2,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,591.61 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d8…e9a1backed Over | 53c | 3,776$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 49c | 2,935$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.9 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 51c | 2,802$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.02 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 2,385$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.74 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 52c | 1,682$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.55 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 1,502$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.81 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…9de7backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.13 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 56c | 912.64$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.86 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 53c | 899.98$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.81 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa70b…7a8abacked Over | 53c | 440.05$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 52c | 296.15$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 252$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.44 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e3…2e82backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9450…d9e6backed Under | 47c | 143.23$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.91 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x873f…168abacked Over | 39c | 135.88$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 63c | 126.44$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.16 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x461b…30ddbacked Over | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Over | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 225 | 43.1%97 W · 128 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 68c | 97.2$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 49c | 82.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.28 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Over | 30c | 81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 42c | 75.04$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…1e38backed Under | 64c | 52.44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 48c | 39.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 47c | 36.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 35c | 33.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 40c | 33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 52c | 30.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 46c | 28.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…676ebacked Over | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c38…13b1backed Over | 51c | 23.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -5.9wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Under | 70c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e14…bc35backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 64c | 19.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stars vs. Wild: O/U 5.5this page
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Wild won
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)Stars won
- Stars vs. WildWild won
- Stars vs. Wild: O/U 4.5Under won
- Stars vs. Wild: O/U 6.5Under won
- Stars vs. Wild: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.