NHL · resolved market
Spread: Stars (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ff58b97c28fb4f18ff140f038c4bbba582b16189c3ff9fe98994f1a5a0f2fe8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wildof Stars, Wild
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,025 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Stars | 32c | 6,330$2,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,036.97 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Wild | 68c | 3,770$2,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.55 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Stars | 33c | 1,130$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.84 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wild | 68c | 1,112$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.6 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Wild | 67c | 1,045$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.85 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Stars | 34c | 904.21$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.26 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Wild | 65c | 714$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.9 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Stars | 32c | 650.15$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.05 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wild | 68c | 644.05$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.14 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Stars | 31c | 620.81$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.22 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Wild | 66c | 500$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.8 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Wild | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Wild | 66c | 454.81$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Stars | 32c | 440$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.8 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeccd…d100backed Wild | 68c | 399.99$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Wild | 68c | 375.15$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.05 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Stars | 32c | 220$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e56…55bbbacked Wild | 66c | 181$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Stars | 25c | 151$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Wild | 68c | 142.26$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.52 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Wild | 70c | 118$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 347 | 52.4%182 W · 165 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Wild | 70c | 114.08$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8410…9713backed Wild | 69c | 111$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2c…bb26backed Stars | 30c | 101.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Stars | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Wild | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Wild | 70c | 97.14$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 215 | 60.9%131 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Wild | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Wild | 68c | 84.63$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb51…733cbacked Stars | 31c | 79.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Wild | 70c | 72.86$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Stars | 33c | 71.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dab…029dbacked Stars | 31c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Stars | 26c | 68.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Stars | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Stars | 33c | 59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Wild | 68c | 57.35$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd6…24c5backed Stars | 32c | 52.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Wild | 68c | 48.89$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Wild | 68c | 47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Stars | 23c | 46.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 227 | 59.5%135 W · 92 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Stars | 35c | 45.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Stars | 25c | 42.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6817…936cbacked Stars | 36c | 41.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff9b…6a02backed Stars | 29c | 41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Stars | 30c | 40.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Stars | 30c | 38.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Stars | 32c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Wild | 69c | 30.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wild | 68c | 25.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Wild | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Wild | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x902f…fb2dbacked Wild | 68c | 19.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Wild | 71c | 15.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)Stars won
- Stars vs. WildWild won
- Stars vs. Wild: O/U 4.5Under won
- Stars vs. Wild: O/U 5.5Under won
- Stars vs. Wild: O/U 6.5Under won
- Stars vs. Wild: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.