College Football · resolved market
Old Dominion vs. South Florida
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c4e44a1693702ad439d301b5002fee2f321326bf164b544bb1e1247677bbda9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Old Dominionof Old Dominion, South Florida
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,026,450
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,590,408
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,026,450 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 436 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Old Dominion | 44c | 539,681$238,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300,964.85 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed South Florida | 54c | 211,695$114,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114,942.29 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed South Florida | 58c | 118,264$68,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,052.7 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked South Florida | 44c | 49,466$21,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,796.37 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed South Florida | 55c | 45,356$24,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,945.8 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Old Dominion | 43c | 40,571$17,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,024.69 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed South Florida | 52c | 33,140$17,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,372.97 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed South Florida | 57c | 31,400$17,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,852.72 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked South Florida | 67c | 30,010$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked South Florida | 59c | 25,947$15,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,189.03 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Old Dominion | 46c | 25,000$11,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,500 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed South Florida | 41c | 24,176$10,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,003.38 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Old Dominion | 59c | 24,120$14,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,873.68 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed South Florida | 55c | 24,019$13,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,143.53 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked South Florida | 45c | 21,186$9,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,625.06 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed South Florida | 39c | 16,925$6,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,674.63 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed South Florida | 45c | 16,684$7,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,437.58 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Old Dominion | 72c | 16,073$11,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,575.79 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked South Florida | 59c | 12,944$7,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,640.29 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Old Dominion | 47c | 12,518$5,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,620.72 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Old Dominion | 56c | 12,304$6,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,393.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked South Florida | 63c | 11,725$7,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,386.75 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed South Florida | 40c | 11,367$4,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,593.05 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Old Dominion | 64c | 11,319$7,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,073.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Old Dominion | 42c | 11,127$4,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,402.55 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed South Florida | 52c | 11,010$5,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,775.6 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Old Dominion | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,900 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Old Dominion | 44c | 9,953$4,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,615.42 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Old Dominion | 44c | 9,806$4,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,491.28 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Old Dominion | 43c | 9,739$4,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,514.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Old Dominion | 39c | 9,088$3,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,517.53 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked South Florida | 35c | 8,664$2,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,995.38 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed South Florida | 62c | 7,676$4,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,759.12 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11b5…0d05backed South Florida | 44c | 7,200$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked South Florida | 0c | 7,000$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed South Florida | 56c | 6,994$3,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,906.55 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked South Florida | 62c | 6,855$4,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,279.39 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…fdd3backed Old Dominion | 57c | 6,548$3,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,813.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2f…3794backed South Florida | 8c | 6,371$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Old Dominion | 37c | 5,786$2,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,633.67 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Old Dominion | 37c | 5,766$2,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,632.36 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed South Florida | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Old Dominion | 45c | 4,848$2,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,689.92 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Old Dominion | 55c | 4,590$2,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,060.04 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed South Florida | 53c | 4,136$2,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,173.1 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…b290backed Old Dominion | 41c | 4,000$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,367.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +145.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Old Dominion | 58c | 3,968$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.19 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eba…33bdbacked Old Dominion | 69c | 3,850$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Old Dominion | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Old Dominion | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Old Dominion | 38c | 2,840$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.05 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5c…aad0backed Old Dominion | 69c | 2,808$1,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.83 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed South Florida | 50c | 2,776$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.52 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96ee…e687backed Old Dominion | 44c | 2,738$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Old Dominion | 44c | 2,736$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,532.16 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x956c…de39backed South Florida | 56c | 2,734$1,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,531.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…f6fabacked Old Dominion | 57c | 2,623$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.12 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed South Florida | 58c | 2,586$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e2…1c56backed Old Dominion | 45c | 2,275$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked South Florida | 61c | 2,180$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.07 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Old Dominion | 39c | 2,159$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.67 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dd…ea96backed South Florida | 43c | 2,111$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc97…58a6backed South Florida | 53c | 2,103$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.42 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Old Dominion | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1375…7d07backed Old Dominion | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d26…9466backed South Florida | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed South Florida | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6380…e74fbacked South Florida | 54c | 1,944$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x869f…0408backed Old Dominion | 44c | 1,818$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2c…5933backed South Florida | 57c | 1,818$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed South Florida | 58c | 1,790$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.15 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Old Dominion | 43c | 1,744$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.19 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed South Florida | 60c | 1,730$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.94 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Old Dominion | 55c | 1,666$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.06 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Old Dominion | 73c | 1,607$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.39 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ac…42aebacked South Florida | 28c | 1,560$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked South Florida | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Old Dominion | 44c | 1,326$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.31 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e88…f3c9backed Old Dominion | 38c | 1,293$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked South Florida | 59c | 1,290$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed South Florida | 63c | 1,278$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked South Florida | 64c | 1,195$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…fc5bbacked South Florida | 59c | 1,189$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Old Dominion | 69c | 1,159$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.51 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed South Florida | 44c | 1,126$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcde1…dfc0backed Old Dominion | 48c | 1,113$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Old Dominion | 48c | 1,104$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.51 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca47…3ef4backed South Florida | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 56cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…cf61backed Old Dominion | 51c | 975.79$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.36 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.36per pick | 49cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked South Florida | 61c | 971$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.31 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4937…db43backed Old Dominion | 43c | 965.84$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f74…558dbacked Old Dominion | 45c | 956.81$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.81 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd765…2ccebacked Old Dominion | 44c | 915.45$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…0325backed South Florida | 30c | 863.01$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28c3…f339backed Old Dominion | 44c | 840.49$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed South Florida | 33c | 825.59$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.93 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…c184backed Old Dominion | 44c | 812.85$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed South Florida | 40c | 800$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Old Dominion | 41c | 791$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.69 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9451…a5b3backed South Florida | 56c | 788.45$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Old Dominion vs. South Floridathis page
- O/U 53.5Under won
- Old Dominion vs. South Florida: 1H MoneylineSouth Florida won
- Old Dominion vs. South Florida: O/U 51.5Under won
- Old Dominion vs. South Florida: O/U 52.5Under won
- Old Dominion vs. South Florida: O/U 54.5Under won
- Spread: South Florida (-2.5)Old Dominion won
- Spread: South Florida (-3.5)Old Dominion won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.