TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Old Dominion vs. South Florida

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Old Dominionof Old Dominion, South Florida
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,026,450
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,590,408

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,026,450 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 436 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4259…936fbacked Old Dominion44c539,681$238,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300,964.853164.5%20 W · 11 L+5.1wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+22.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed South Florida54c211,695$114,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114,942.2916234%55 W · 107 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9249…4f16backed South Florida58c118,264$68,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68,052.710046%46 W · 54 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked South Florida44c49,466$21,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,796.3758850.2%295 W · 293 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed South Florida55c45,356$24,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,945.819362.2%120 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Old Dominion43c40,571$17,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,024.692528%7 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-44.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed South Florida52c33,140$17,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,372.9726244.3%116 W · 146 L-1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed South Florida57c31,400$17,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,852.7252449.4%259 W · 265 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked South Florida67c30,010$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,0002763%17 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked South Florida59c25,947$15,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,189.0352641.8%220 W · 306 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Old Dominion46c25,000$11,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,50027246%125 W · 147 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed South Florida41c24,176$10,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,003.3813933.1%46 W · 93 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-45%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Old Dominion59c24,120$14,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,873.6886243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed South Florida55c24,019$13,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,143.5393548.4%453 W · 482 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked South Florida45c21,186$9,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,625.0662843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed South Florida39c16,925$6,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,674.6319842.9%85 W · 113 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed South Florida45c16,684$7,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,437.586838.2%26 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Old Dominion72c16,073$11,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,575.7963243.7%276 W · 356 L+34.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+138.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked South Florida59c12,944$7,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,640.2911849.2%58 W · 60 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Old Dominion47c12,518$5,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,620.7212746.5%59 W · 68 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Old Dominion56c12,304$6,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,393.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5350…2fdabacked South Florida63c11,725$7,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,386.753345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed South Florida40c11,367$4,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,593.0564841.2%267 W · 381 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Old Dominion64c11,319$7,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,073.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+23.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Old Dominion42c11,127$4,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,402.5511846.6%55 W · 63 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed South Florida52c11,010$5,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,775.611541.7%48 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Old Dominion41c10,000$4,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,9009540%38 W · 57 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Old Dominion44c9,953$4,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,615.429457.4%54 W · 40 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x60b2…3ccebacked Old Dominion44c9,806$4,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,491.28714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick44cpaid-67.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed Old Dominion43c9,739$4,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,514.24520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-53.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Old Dominion39c9,088$3,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,517.5325629.3%75 W · 181 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked South Florida35c8,664$2,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,995.381457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed South Florida62c7,676$4,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,759.128549.4%42 W · 43 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11b5…0d05backed South Florida44c7,200$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,150250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-26.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked South Florida0c7,000$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3424229.3%71 W · 171 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-24.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed South Florida56c6,994$3,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,906.5519849%97 W · 101 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked South Florida62c6,855$4,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,279.3920450.5%103 W · 101 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2838…fdd3backed Old Dominion57c6,548$3,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,813.17540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-26.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4c2f…3794backed South Florida8c6,371$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52090%0 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Old Dominion37c5,786$2,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,633.672,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Old Dominion37c5,766$2,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,632.3612055%66 W · 54 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed South Florida36c5,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8003030%9 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-39.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Old Dominion45c4,848$2,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,689.9210851.9%56 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x309f…9282backed Old Dominion55c4,590$2,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,060.045565.5%36 W · 19 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed South Florida53c4,136$2,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,173.17929.1%23 W · 56 L-8.1wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-41.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xac71…b290backed Old Dominion41c4,000$1,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,367.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+145.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Old Dominion58c3,968$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,648.1920553.7%110 W · 95 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7eba…33bdbacked Old Dominion69c3,850$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.82250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Old Dominion70c3,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9001947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+55.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Old Dominion39c3,000$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8309444.7%42 W · 52 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Old Dominion38c2,840$1,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,761.0530949.5%153 W · 156 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d5c…aad0backed Old Dominion69c2,808$1,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.832161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed South Florida50c2,776$1,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,377.521833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-37.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x96ee…e687backed Old Dominion44c2,738$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,533.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Old Dominion44c2,736$1,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,532.1665945.2%298 W · 361 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x956c…de39backed South Florida56c2,734$1,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,531.02250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2232…f6fabacked Old Dominion57c2,623$1,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.123250%16 W · 16 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-28.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed South Florida58c2,586$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5005038%19 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9e2…1c56backed Old Dominion45c2,275$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,256.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked South Florida61c2,180$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,340.072755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Old Dominion39c2,159$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,307.6721644.9%97 W · 119 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dd…ea96backed South Florida43c2,111$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.99850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc97…58a6backed South Florida53c2,103$1,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,106.42742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Old Dominion60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80016747.9%80 W · 87 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1375…7d07backed Old Dominion43c2,000$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1401100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d26…9466backed South Florida58c2,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,16010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b3…40d4backed South Florida58c2,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1603148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6380…e74fbacked South Florida54c1,944$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.15540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x869f…0408backed Old Dominion44c1,818$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.18450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2c…5933backed South Florida57c1,818$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.26560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+38.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed South Florida58c1,790$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.153658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Old Dominion43c1,744$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.191752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed South Florida60c1,730$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.942138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Old Dominion55c1,666$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.063053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Old Dominion73c1,607$1,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.391258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12ac…42aebacked South Florida28c1,560$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked South Florida1c1,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20790%0 W · 79 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Old Dominion44c1,326$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.31850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+35.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e88…f3c9backed Old Dominion38c1,293$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.51145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick30cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x17b9…430dbacked South Florida59c1,290$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.35633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed South Florida63c1,278$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.87333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-34.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66ba…621fbacked South Florida64c1,195$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7651947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64e7…fc5bbacked South Florida59c1,189$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Old Dominion69c1,159$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.512548%12 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed South Florida44c1,126$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-27.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcde1…dfc0backed Old Dominion48c1,113$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.93250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Old Dominion48c1,104$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.519053.3%48 W · 42 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xca47…3ef4backed South Florida63c1,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6301127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.28per pick56cpaid-56.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1ae7…cf61backed Old Dominion51c975.79$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.36785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.36per pick49cpaid+78.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked South Florida61c971$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.3149443.7%216 W · 278 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4937…db43backed Old Dominion43c965.84$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f74…558dbacked Old Dominion45c956.81$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.815100%5 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+96.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd765…2ccebacked Old Dominion44c915.45$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d57…0325backed South Florida30c863.01$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.9320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28c3…f339backed Old Dominion44c840.49$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed South Florida33c825.59$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.932536%9 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3d…c184backed Old Dominion44c812.85$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.63475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+68.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed South Florida40c800$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3161650%8 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Old Dominion41c791$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.6917361.3%106 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9451…a5b3backed South Florida56c788.45$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.